Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Hamburger SV displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, with a favorable goal difference of +4, indicating offensive efficiency. Union Berlin has poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match on the road and a negative goal difference of -7. The last five matches for both teams confirm HSV's advantage (1.2 points per match) over Union Berlin (0.6 points per match). The higher average xG for the hosts (1.61 vs 1.42) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 7%) further support a Hamburger SV victory, although Union Berlin may offer resistance, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamburger SV played against Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Hamburger SV has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Union Berlin has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamburger SV scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.45. Union Berlin scores 1.24 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's games and 62% of Union Berlin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 57%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hamburger SV has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.38 per game. Hamburger SV takes 13.2 shots per game, while Union Berlin takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Union Berlin leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamburger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Union Berlin, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamburger SV displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, with a favorable goal difference of +4, indicating offensive efficiency. Union Berlin has poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match on the road and a negative goal difference of -7. The last five matches for both teams confirm HSV's advantage (1.2 points per match) over Union Berlin (0.6 points per match). The higher average xG for the hosts (1.61 vs 1.42) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 7%) further support a Hamburger SV victory, although Union Berlin may offer resistance, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hamburger SV is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 0.6 pts / game - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.24 goals / game - Union Berlin
Hamburger SV is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.45 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.62 goals / game - Union Berlin
Hamburger SV scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Union Berlin scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 1.1 pts / game - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hamburger SV's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Union Berlin. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 3:2 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
Hamburger SV score 1.05 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.24. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's matches and 62% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Union Berlin 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.