Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hamburger SV play Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 15:30. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Hamburger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Werder Bremen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hamburger SV scores 1.18 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 1.09 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hamburger SV 65%, Werder Bremen 47%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 56%, Werder Bremen 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.35. Hamburger SV: 12.3 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 13.1.

Match halves

Hamburger SV: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (10 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
12Shots10
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
6Shots on target3
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.58xG1.13
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
5Corners3
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
56Dangerous attacks39
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8Fouls13
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
2Cards6
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.18Goals scored / match1.09
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.59Goals conceded / match1.76
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
45%Average possession51%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
4.56Shots on target / match4.15
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match13.09
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
4.56Shots on target4.15
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
9.6%Shot conversion8.3%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
45%Possession51%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.35xG for1.45
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.66xG against1.58
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Shooting quality

Hamburger SV: BalancedWerder Bremen: Balanced
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hamburger SV is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 0.8 pts / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV
LLWWD
Season result split
26% W32% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-14
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Werder Bremen
WDLLL
Season result split
24% W24% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-18
0.94 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-10
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamburger SV is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.09 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.76 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV scoring profile: very strong

Hamburger SV scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Werder Bremen scoring profile: strong

Werder Bremen scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

40Goals scored (season)37
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
54Goals conceded (season)60
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
2.76Average goals in match2.85
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal62%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
32%2 goals26%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
12%3 goals15%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
3%4 goals6%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
44%2 goals53%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
18%3 goals32%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
12%4 goals9%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time12%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
9%BTTS in both halves6%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
24%Scored in both halves18%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
100%BTTS - last 560%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamburger SV is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 0.85 pts / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing
Werder Bremen - half-time state
18% leading32% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)0.85
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.09
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
44%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
59%No goal before half-time74%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.09
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.76
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
47%No goal after half-time47%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Hamburger SV - second-half results

24% W44% R32% P
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Werder Bremen - second-half results

26% W29% R44% P
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hamburger SV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Werder Bremen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
4
11
16-30
10
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
6
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Werder Bremen
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
4
9
16-30
5
10
31-45
4
8
46-60
8
15
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.81
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Werder Bremen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Hamburger SVLigaWerder Bremen
Average goals in match 2.763.24 2.85
Both teams scored 65%62% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%64% 53%
Clean sheets 18%21% 18%
Goal before half-time 71%77% 74%
Goal after half-time 76%86% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.24
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hamburger SV 0 - 0 - 1 Werder Bremen. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 3:2 Werder Bremen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

Hamburger SV score 1.18 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 1.09. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Hamburger SV's matches and 47% of Werder Bremen's.

What form are Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen in?

Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Werder Bremen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.