Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT: match statistics
As the league leaders, Inverness CT are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches compared to Hamilton Academical's 2.0. The visitors are undefeated in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while the hosts have suffered a defeat in that period. Inverness CT have a much better goal difference this season (42:15) than Hamilton (37:23), and also a higher clean sheet rate away from home (58% vs the hosts' 60% at home). Hamilton demonstrate solid home form with a 70% win rate, making this a closely contested fixture, but the leaders' quality and current form point towards an away win. The average xG confirms Inverness' slight advantage (1.41 vs 1.34), suggesting their effectiveness in creating goal-scoring opportunities even on the road.
Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamilton Academical played against Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Hamilton Academical has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Inverness CT has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamilton Academical scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 1.09. Inverness CT scores 1.83 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Hamilton Academical's games and 35% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.32 per game. Hamilton Academical takes 9.8 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamilton Academical's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Inverness CT are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches compared to Hamilton Academical's 2.0. The visitors are undefeated in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while the hosts have suffered a defeat in that period. Inverness CT have a much better goal difference this season (42:15) than Hamilton (37:23), and also a higher clean sheet rate away from home (58% vs the hosts' 60% at home). Hamilton demonstrate solid home form with a 70% win rate, making this a closely contested fixture, but the leaders' quality and current form point towards an away win. The average xG confirms Inverness' slight advantage (1.41 vs 1.34), suggesting their effectiveness in creating goal-scoring opportunities even on the road.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inverness CT is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 2.2 pts / game - Inverness CT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.68 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.83 goals / game - Inverness CT
Inverness CT is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.09 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.65 goals / game - Inverness CT
Hamilton Academical scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 61% (14 of 23 meczów).
Inverness CT scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.74 pts / game - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamilton Academical
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.77 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 30% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hamilton Academical's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Inverness CT. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 0:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Inverness CT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Inverness CT won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
Hamilton Academical score 1.68 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.83. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 35% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.