Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hamilton Academical played against Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The game was played on November 22, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Hamilton Academical has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Hamilton Academical scores 1.93 goals per game and allows 0.93. Kelty Hearts scores 0.86 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Hamilton Academical's games and 50% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 71%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hamilton Academical has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 0.90 per game. Hamilton Academical takes 11.2 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 6.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.36 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hamilton Academical's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
7Shots10
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
3Shots on target6
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0.97xG1.6
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1Corners7
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
42Dangerous attacks76
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
13Fouls10
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
3Cards2
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1.93Goals scored / game0.86
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0.93Goals allowed / game2
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
50%Average possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
5.86Shots on target / game3
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.21Shots per game6.57
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
5.86Shots on target3
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
17.2%Shot conversion13%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
50%Possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1.53xG for0.9
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1.1xG against1.82
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Shooting quality

Hamilton Academical: Efficient finishingKelty Hearts: Efficient finishing
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
Accuracy (shots on target)52%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamilton Academical is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.6 pts / game - Kelty Hearts

Hamilton Academical
WLDWL
Season result split
50% W21% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-4
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Kelty Hearts
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W21% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-9
0.64 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 124% better for: goals scored per game.

1.93 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.86 goals / game - Kelty Hearts

Hamilton Academical is 115% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.93 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 2 goals / game - Kelty Hearts

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 57% of games (8 of 14 meczów), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).

27Goals scored (season)12
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
13Goals conceded (season)28
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
2.86Average goals per game2.86
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
9Goals scored (last 5)5
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal57%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
57%2 goals29%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
36%3 goals0%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
21%4 goals0%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal93%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
29%2 goals71%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
7%3 goals29%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0%4 goals7%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 14 meczów
43%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
57%Scored in both halves21%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
40%BTTS - last 560%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time93%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.93 pts / game - Kelty Hearts

Hamilton Academical - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing
Kelty Hearts - half-time state
21% leading29% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)0.93
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)1.07
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.57
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
79%Clean sheet before half-time21%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
29%No goal before half-time57%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per game (2nd half)0.64
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
50%Clean sheet after half-time21%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts
36%No goal after half-time64%
Hamilton AcademicalKelty Hearts

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

50% W29% D21% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

14% W21% D64% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hamilton Academical - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kelty Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
6
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
6
31-45
2
6
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Hamilton AcademicalLigaKelty Hearts
Average goals per game 2.862.54 2.86
Both teams scored 43%43% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%54% 71%
Clean sheets 43%30% 7%
Goal before half-time 79%71% 93%
Goal after half-time 86%83% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hamilton AcademicalGoalOliver ShawAssist: Stuart McKinstry
  2. Kelty HeartsYellow cardCraig Johnston
  3. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardSteven Hendrie
  4. Kelty HeartsYellow cardCraig William Clay
  5. Kelty HeartsGoalCraig JohnstonAssist: Ricco Diack
  6. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardStuart McKinstry
  7. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardLee Kilday
  8. Hamilton AcademicalGoalOliver ShawAssist: Steven Bradley
  9. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Innes MurrayOff: Lewis Moore
  10. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Luke RathieOff: Stuart McKinstry
  11. Hamilton AcademicalGoalKevin O'HaraAssist: Steven Bradley
  12. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Darian MacKinnonOff: Lee Kilday

Head-to-head

Record from Hamilton Academical's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kelty Hearts. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Kelty Hearts FC
0 : 4
Hamilton Academical FC

FAQ

What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?

The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 3:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?

Hamilton Academical score 1.93 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.86. The League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.

What form are Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts?

The statistical background for Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.