Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South: match statistics
Hamilton Academical shows solid home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet record at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per home game while conceding only 0.64, giving them a positive goal difference of +10 in home fixtures. Queen of the South is going through a clear slump in form, picking up just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory in this period. The visitors have a poor away win rate (31%) and concede an average of 1.46 goals per away game, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -3, puts them in a difficult situation. Queen of the South's possession advantage (51%) does not translate into efficiency, as evidenced by a lower xG (1.17) compared to Hamilton (1.29 xG in home matches). Taking all these factors into account, Hamilton Academical holds a distinct advantage, although the visitors' form makes a draw scenario the second most likely option.
Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamilton Academical played against Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Hamilton Academical has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Queen of the South has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamilton Academical scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.07. Queen of the South scores 1.50 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Hamilton Academical's games and 50% of Queen of the South's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 50%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Queen of the South has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.30 per game. Hamilton Academical takes 9.9 shots per game, while Queen of the South takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Queen of the South leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamilton Academical's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Queen of the South, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical shows solid home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet record at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per home game while conceding only 0.64, giving them a positive goal difference of +10 in home fixtures. Queen of the South is going through a clear slump in form, picking up just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory in this period. The visitors have a poor away win rate (31%) and concede an average of 1.46 goals per away game, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -3, puts them in a difficult situation. Queen of the South's possession advantage (51%) does not translate into efficiency, as evidenced by a lower xG (1.17) compared to Hamilton (1.29 xG in home matches). Taking all these factors into account, Hamilton Academical holds a distinct advantage, although the visitors' form makes a draw scenario the second most likely option.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hamilton Academical is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.4 pts / game - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.32 goals / game - Queen of the South
Hamilton Academical scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 meczów).
Queen of the South scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.32 pts / game - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamilton Academical
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.57 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hamilton Academical's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Queen of the South. Games average 4.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 1:3 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Queen of the South?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Queen of the South won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
Hamilton Academical score 1.50 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.50. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 50% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Queen of the South 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
The statistical background for Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.