Scotland - League OneData current as of September 12, 2026

Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics

150%(3.37)
X30%(3.20)
220%(2.04)

Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.

Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hamilton Academical played against Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Hamilton Academical has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Stenhousemuir has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Hamilton Academical scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.12. Stenhousemuir scores 1.35 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Hamilton Academical's games and 42% of Stenhousemuir's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 38%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hamilton Academical has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.15 per game. Hamilton Academical takes 9.7 shots per game, while Stenhousemuir takes 8.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hamilton Academical's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Stenhousemuir, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
11Shots9
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
2Shots on target3
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.16xG1.14
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
5Corners8
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
44Dangerous attacks51
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
15Fouls13
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
5Cards3
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.5Goals scored / game1.35
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.12Goals allowed / game0.81
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
48%Average possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
4.65Shots on target / game4.23
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.65Shots per game8.23
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
4.65Shots on target4.23
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
15.5%Shot conversion16.4%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
48%Possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.29xG for1.15
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.3xG against1.15
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Shooting quality

Hamilton Academical: Efficient finishingStenhousemuir: Efficient finishing
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Accuracy (shots on target)48%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Stenhousemuir is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.8 pts / game - Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical
DLWLD
Season result split
46% W23% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-8
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Stenhousemuir
WDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W38% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-4
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 1.35 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.12 goals / game - Hamilton Academical · 0.81 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: mixed

Hamilton Academical scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 meczów).

39Goals scored (season)35
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
29Goals conceded (season)21
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
2.62Average goals per game2.15
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
2Goals scored (last 5)8
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal73%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
42%2 goals38%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
27%3 goals15%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
12%4 goals8%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal54%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
31%2 goals23%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
15%3 goals4%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
8%4 goals0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

38%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 26 meczów
46%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
38%Scored in both halves27%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
20%BTTS - last 560%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing
Stenhousemuir - half-time state
35% leading46% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per game (1st half)1.5
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.15Average goals (1st half)1
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
65%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
46%No goal before half-time50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per game (2nd half)1.58
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.46Average goals (2nd half)1.15
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
58%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
46%No goal after half-time50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

42% W35% D23% L
40
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

38% W42% D19% L
39
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hamilton Academical - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.20
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
6
31-45
7
8
46-60
8
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Hamilton AcademicalLigaStenhousemuir
Average goals per game 2.622.61 2.15
Both teams scored 38%46% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 38%
Clean sheets 42%30% 46%
Goal before half-time 73%74% 69%
Goal after half-time 73%80% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardEwan Simpson
  2. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardKyle MacDonald
  3. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Meechan
  4. StenhousemuirGoalOlly Whyte
  5. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Ewan O'ReillyOff: Ross Taylor
  6. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Liam MorganOff: Ben Black
  7. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Gregor CrookstonOff: Ewan Simpson
  8. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Zeke CameronOff: Kane Ritchie-Hosler
  9. StenhousemuirYellow cardNicky Jamieson
  10. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Scott McGillOff: Leyton Grant
  11. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Cian NewburyOff: Kai Smutek
  12. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardLee Kilday
  13. Hamilton AcademicalRed cardGregor Crookston
  14. StenhousemuirYellow cardEwan O'Reilly

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Hamilton Academical's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Stenhousemuir. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Stenhousemuir FC
0 : 0
Hamilton Academical FC
Hamilton Academical FC
2 : 0
Stenhousemuir FC

FAQ

What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 0:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Stenhousemuir won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

Hamilton Academical score 1.50 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.35. The League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 42% of Stenhousemuir's.

What form are Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir in?

Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.