HamKam vs Molde: match statistics

Molde sit 4th, while HamKam are 10th, and, above all, the visitors are in excellent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored as many as 21 goals during that run. HamKam have scored 8 goals over the same period, won just once and conceded 10, highlighting their significantly weaker recent form. Molde create more chances away from home, averaging 15.67 shots and 6.33 shots on target per match, with an xG of 1.77, compared with the hosts’ 11.11 shots, 4.89 shots on target and xG of 1.35. HamKam’s key advantage is home form, where they win 56% of matches and average 1.78 goals, while Molde concede an average of 2 goals away from home. Despite the visitors’ defensive vulnerability, their current attacking efficiency and superiority in chance creation point towards an away win, although both teams should find the net.

Seasonal BTTS indicators favor goals from both sides: HamKam’s figure stands at 60%, while Molde’s is as high as 78%, compared with the league average of 56%. HamKam score an average of 2.30 goals at home, while Molde net 1.67 goals away, and the hosts keep a clean sheet in only 30% of matches. Molde are particularly dangerous in their current form, scoring 4.2 goals per game across their last five appearances with an xG of 2.18, while HamKam have conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 2.17. However, the hosts currently show lower creative quality, recording an xG of 1.03 in their last five matches, while Molde concede just 1.4 goals per game over that span, which slightly reduces confidence in the pick. Nevertheless, HamKam’s seasonal scoring efficiency, 5.0 shots on target per match, and Molde’s poor 11% clean-sheet rate indicate that a Goal/Goal scenario remains more likely.

The match profile clearly favors goals: HamKam average 2.30 goals at home, while Molde concede as many as 2.00 goals away from home. Molde are in excellent attacking form, scoring 4.2 goals per game across their last five matches, with an average xG of 2.18. During the same period, HamKam allowed opponents 2.0 goals and 2.17 xG per match, further supporting the prospect of a high-scoring performance from the visitors. At least three goals were scored in 80% of the teams’ last five matches, but the strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, backed by the seasonal success rate of this line: 80% for HamKam and 89% for Molde.

The strongest signal points to Molde leading at the break and securing an away win, as they were ahead after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals before half-time. Over the same period, HamKam were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches, scored only 0.6 goals in the first half, and won just 20% of their last five games. Molde’s form is clearly superior: four consecutive victories, 2.4 points per match across their last five appearances, and an average of 4.2 goals scored per game compared with HamKam’s 1.6. The hosts do have very strong home-season statistics, with a 70% win rate and only 1.1 goals conceded on average, but their current defensive form has seen them allow 2.0 goals per match over their last five appearances. Molde also maintain a high level of attacking creativity, with an average xG of 1.77 and 6.33 shots on target per match, supporting the scenario of maintaining their lead until the final whistle.