HamKam vs Tromsø: match statistics
HamKam vs Tromsø: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HamKam played against Tromsø in Eliteserien (Norway). The game was played on July 18, 2026. Venue: Briskeby Arena. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
HamKam has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Tromsø has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
HamKam scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.64. Tromsø scores 1.57 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of HamKam's games and 29% of Tromsø's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 43%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tromsø has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.39 per game. HamKam takes 11.7 shots per game, while Tromsø takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
HamKam leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Tromsø leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
HamKam's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Tromsø, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eliteserien games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a HamKam win (1): at home the hosts score on average 2.0 goals per match with an average xG of 1.40, while Tromsø score only 0.8 goals away with xG 1.14. HamKam average 11.5 shots and 5.17 on target at home per match with a conversion rate of 17%, whereas Tromsø away average 9.2 shots and 3.8 on target with a 9% conversion. The hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while the visitors concede 1.4 goals away and fail to score in 40% of their away games. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.6 points per game, but HamKam at their stadium have a run 'WLWWW' and a home win rate of 83%, whereas Tromsø win 40% and draw 40% of their away fixtures. Given the clear home advantage in scoring efficiency (2.0 vs 0.8 goals), number of on-target shots (5.17 vs 3.8) and the zero share of home games without scoring, I give HamKam the higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - No with a 70% probability vs 30%. HamKam concede only 0.78 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while their season BTTS rate is just 22%, strongly favoring a clean sheet for the home side. Tromsø score 0.8 goals away, register 3.8 shots on target per game and have xG_for 1.14, and BTTS has occurred in only 20% of their last 5 matches, indicating real struggles in finding the net. HamKam create significantly more chances: xG 1.86 vs 1.14 and 15.78 shots vs 9.2, so any goal is more likely to come from the hosts rather than Tromsø, which supports the No Goal scenario. Although the league average BTTS is 55% and HamKam have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, the season metrics (67% clean sheets and 0.78 goals conceded) and Tromsø’s poor away scoring prompt me to pick BTTS - No as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The modeled expected goals are 1.64 for HamKam and 1.18 for Tromsø (total 2.82), calculated from home xG 1.86 and xG against visitors 1.42, and away xG 1.14 and xG against hosts 1.22. HamKam average 2.0 goals at home and have 89% of matches with over 1.5 goals; additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) while Tromsø have 7 (1.4), and shots on target are 6.11 vs 3.8, increasing the hosts' scoring probability. A Poisson distribution for total 2.82 yields about 77% chance for Over 1.5, ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5; these figures partially align with seasonal indicators (HamKam Over1.5 at home 89%, Over2.5 at home 44%, league average 2.98 goals). HamKam also have 67% clean sheets at home and only 22% of home games with Both Teams To Score for the hosts, suggesting many 2:0-type outcomes (Over 1.5 without Both Teams To Score). Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (77%); Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (54%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (31%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HamKam led at the break in 5 of their matches so far (56%) and scored 11 goals in the first 45 minutes (0.89 on average), while Tromsø led only once (20%) and have 4 first-half goals (0.4 on average), indicating a home advantage already before halftime. The hosts average 2.0 goals per match versus Tromsø’s 0.8, have a higher xG (1.86 vs 1.14) and register more shots on target (6.11 vs 3.8), meaning they create and convert more chances. HamKam keep a clean sheet at halftime in 89% of games and add on average 1.11 goals in the second half, whereas the visitors add 0.4, so a lead at 45' has a strong chance of being maintained and translating into a win. Considering also that the home side win 67% of matches at home versus 40% wins for the away side, the most likely scenario is HT/FT 1/1, and I assign the highest probability to that outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HamKam | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HamKam is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - HamKam · 1.57 goals / game - Tromsø
Tromsø is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - HamKam · 1 goals / game - Tromsø
HamKam scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 meczów), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 meczów).
Tromsø scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while HamKam keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HamKam
Over / Under - Tromsø
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - HamKam · 1.71 pts / game - Tromsø
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HamKam - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HamKam
Tromsø
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| HamKam | Liga | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.36 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 55% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | • 82% | 82% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from HamKam's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Tromsø. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of HamKam vs Tromsø?
The Eliteserien match finished HamKam 1:4 Tromsø. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HamKam and Tromsø?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches HamKam won 0, Tromsø won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HamKam vs Tromsø?
HamKam score 1.73 goals per game on average and Tromsø 1.57. The Eliteserien average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 73% of HamKam's matches and 29% of Tromsø's.
What form are HamKam and Tromsø in?
Over the last 5 games HamKam have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tromsø 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HamKam vs Tromsø?
The statistical background for HamKam vs Tromsø — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.