Hansa Rostock vs Meppen: match statistics

Hansa Rostock are 6th, while Meppen are 17th. In their last five matches, the hosts have picked up 8 points, compared with just 3 for the visitors. At home, Hansa average 2.33 goals and 7 shots on target per match, compared with Meppen’s 1 goal and 4 shots on target per away game. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 1.94, while their opponents’ away xG is 1.35. Hansa will need to stay alert defensively, however, as they concede an average of 2 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Even so, Meppen’s three defeats in four away matches and failure to score in half of those games point to a home win.

In their last five matches, both teams scored in 80% of Hansa’s games and 60% of Meppen’s, supporting a BTTS - Yes selection. Hansa averaged 1.8 goals scored during this period, while Meppen averaged 1.2; they conceded 2.0 and 2.4 goals per match, respectively. The average xG of 1.44 for each side across their last five matches also supports both teams’ chances of scoring. The main obstacle to this pick is that Meppen failed to score in 50% of their away matches. However, Hansa conceded an average of 3.0 goals at home, making an away goal the more likely scenario.

Hansa have scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 matches, while Meppen have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, pointing to strong scoring potential in this fixture. Current xG averages stand at 1.72 for Hansa and 1.35 for Meppen, with both teams’ attacking prospects supporting a forecast of around 3.15 goals in total. At least 3 goals were scored in 60% of Hansa’s and 80% of Meppen’s last 5 matches, although none of the away side’s matches so far have produced 4 goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the safest pick: this line has been cleared in 100% of Hansa’s matches to date and 75% of Meppen’s, while higher lines carry greater uncertainty.

Hansa has greater attacking potential: its average xG is 1.72 compared with Meppen’s 1.35, and it averages 5.67 shots on target per match versus 4.00. A home lead at the break is a realistic possibility, as Meppen was trailing at half-time in 2 of its 4 away matches and in 3 of its last 5 matches overall. Hansa’s chances of maintaining that lead are boosted by the visitors’ poor second-half performances: they have scored no goals after the break away from home, and averaged just 0.2 second-half goals across their last 5 matches. Hansa won 2 of its last 5 matches, while Meppen lost 4 of 5, so I rate the 1/1 HT/FT outcome highest. The risk remains significant, however, as Hansa was trailing at half-time in 2 of its 3 home matches, increasing the likelihood of other outcomes.