Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Hansa Rostock presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 21% losses, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.57 goals per match with an xG of 2.0, which indicates their scoring potential is underestimated. MSV Duisburg, despite a higher position in the table, performs significantly worse on the road with only a 29% win rate and up to 36% losses, and their away xG (1.31) is lower than Hansa's home xGA (1.29). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 36% of their away matches, which could be crucial against Hansa's well-organized defense. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical (1.6 PPG), but the home-field advantage and better offensive statistics in home games favor a Hansa Rostock win, although MSV Duisburg has the potential to put up tough resistance and force a draw.
Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hansa Rostock played against MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Hansa Rostock has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. MSV Duisburg has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hansa Rostock scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 1.11. MSV Duisburg scores 1.82 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Hansa Rostock's games and 64% of MSV Duisburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 64%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hansa Rostock has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.52 per game. Hansa Rostock takes 15.1 shots per game, while MSV Duisburg takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Hansa Rostock leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.07 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hansa Rostock's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For MSV Duisburg, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hansa Rostock presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 21% losses, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.57 goals per match with an xG of 2.0, which indicates their scoring potential is underestimated. MSV Duisburg, despite a higher position in the table, performs significantly worse on the road with only a 29% win rate and up to 36% losses, and their away xG (1.31) is lower than Hansa's home xGA (1.29). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 36% of their away matches, which could be crucial against Hansa's well-organized defense. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical (1.6 PPG), but the home-field advantage and better offensive statistics in home games favor a Hansa Rostock win, although MSV Duisburg has the potential to put up tough resistance and force a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hansa Rostock | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.68 goals / game - Hansa Rostock · 1.82 goals / game - MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Hansa Rostock · 1.25 goals / game - MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Hansa Rostock keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hansa Rostock
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hansa Rostock is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Hansa Rostock · 1.43 pts / game - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hansa Rostock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hansa Rostock
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hansa Rostock | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.79 | 3.12 | • 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hansa Rostock's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against MSV Duisburg. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Hansa Rostock 5:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
Hansa Rostock score 1.68 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.82. The 3. Liga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hansa Rostock's matches and 64% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Hansa Rostock and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Hansa Rostock have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.