Hanworth Villa vs Taunton Town: match statistics

Taunton Town have displayed a clearly more stable run of form: they have won 4, drawn 1 and suffered no defeats in their last five matches, while Hanworth Villa’s record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Both teams have scored 7 goals during this period, so the visitors’ advantage is not based on a higher scoring output, but primarily on their defensive organization. Taunton have conceded just 1 goal in five matches—four times fewer than Hanworth Villa, who have allowed 4 goals. The visitors have also averaged 2.6 points per match during this run, compared with 2.0 for the hosts, further confirming their greater consistency. With limited seasonal data available, a draw remains a realistic scenario, but the stronger defense and unbeaten run favor a Taunton Town victory.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Taunton Town’s highly resilient defense in recent matches: the team has conceded just 1 goal in 5 games, averaging 0.2 per match. BTTS occurred in only 20% of Taunton’s last five matches and in 40% of Hanworth Villa’s, which in neither case provides consistent confirmation that both teams will score. Both teams scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 each, but Hanworth Villa conceded 0.8 goals per match, while Taunton has restricted opponents far more effectively. The visitors are on a run of 4 wins and a draw, and their average xG of 1.0 suggests they may find the net. However, the most likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score—particularly the hosts.

The available data from the last five matches points to a cautious goals profile: Hanworth Villa averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Taunton Town also scored 1.4 goals but allowed opponents just 0.2 goals per match. During this period, matches featuring at least three goals accounted for only 40% of the hosts’ games and 20% of the visitors’ games, clearly limiting the case for a high-scoring game. Taunton Town conceded just 1 goal in total across five matches, while both teams scored in only 20% of their recent fixtures. The lack of complete season-long data increases uncertainty, but the projected total of 1.90 goals still gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals option.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Taunton Town win in the match, as the visitors were level at the break in 60% of their recent fixtures and did not concede a single first-half goal during that period. Hanworth Villa more often started actively, taking the lead at half-time in 50% of matches, but averaged only 0.75 goals in those periods, while Taunton’s defense kept a clean sheet in the first half in 100% of the analyzed fixtures. After the break, the visitors’ advantage becomes more pronounced: Taunton average 1.0 goals scored and concede just 0.2, whereas Hanworth score only 0.5 goals and concede 0.5. This is further supported by their form across all five matches: the visitors won 80% of their games, remain unbeaten and average 2.6 points per match, compared with the hosts’ 60% win rate and 2.0 points per game. A half-time draw is also supported by Taunton’s low average of 0.4 goals in first halves, but their stronger second-half performance should ultimately tip the full-time result in their favor.