Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: match statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Paide 70%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 70%, Paide 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.53. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3 shots per match, Paide: 13.7.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Paide are the favorites based on clearly superior efficiency and form: the visitors average 2.25 goals away versus Harju’s 1.00 at home, and in the last 5 matches Paide have 11 goals to Harju’s 8. The visitors average 12 shots and 6.25 on target per away match, while the hosts average 7.33 shots and 4.33 on target; conversion is 19% for Paide versus 14% for Harju. In xG terms Paide register 1.60 xG per away match and concede 1.46 xG, whereas Harju have only 1.12 xG at home and concede 2.23 xG, suggesting the hosts allow significantly better scoring chances. Form corroborates the advantage: Paide earn 2.6 points per match in the last 5 with form DWWWW (4 wins, 1 draw), while Harju average 1.8 points per match with form WWLLW (3 wins, 2 losses). Additionally Paide have no away matches without scoring (FTS 0%) versus 33% of Harju’s home matches without a goal, therefore I back the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.6 goals / match - Paide
Paide is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.4 goals / match - Paide
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under — Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.55 pts / match - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.11 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Harju Jalgpallikool 2 - 1 - 3 Paide. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 2:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 2, Paide won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Paide 1.60. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 70% of Paide's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.