Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

120%(7.90)
X25%(5.50)
255%(1.23)

Tallinna FC Levadia occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) compared to Harju Jalgpallikool (4th place), which indicates their advantage this season. Both teams display identical form over their last 5 matches (wlwdw) with the same points per game (2.0 PPG), however, Levadia stands out with a better goal difference in recent fixtures (12 goals scored compared to 9 for the hosts). The key advantage for the visitors is their defense – they are yet to concede a single goal this season (0 GA), while the hosts have let in 1 goal. Tallinna FC Levadia also scored more goals in their last 5 matches (12) while conceding 6, giving them an attacking edge. Considering their higher league position, solid defense, and the offensive efficiency of the visitors, a victory for Tallinna FC Levadia is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even form of both teams.

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 70%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.53. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 0-1-4. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 20%.

Match description

Tallinna FC Levadia occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) compared to Harju Jalgpallikool (4th place), which indicates their advantage this season. Both teams display identical form over their last 5 matches (wlwdw) with the same points per game (2.0 PPG), however, Levadia stands out with a better goal difference in recent fixtures (12 goals scored compared to 9 for the hosts). The key advantage for the visitors is their defense – they are yet to concede a single goal this season (0 GA), while the hosts have let in 1 goal. Tallinna FC Levadia also scored more goals in their last 5 matches (12) while conceding 6, giving them an attacking edge. Considering their higher league position, solid defense, and the offensive efficiency of the visitors, a victory for Tallinna FC Levadia is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even form of both teams.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
6Shots25
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4Shots on target5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.96xG2.8
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Corners17
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
42Dangerous attacks123
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
8Fouls13
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Cards3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.5Goals scored / match2.58
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.7Goals conceded / match0.84
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
47%Average possession58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4.05Shots on target / match6.74
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.3Shots per match19.79
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4.05Shots on target6.74
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
12.2%Shot conversion13%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
47%Possession58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.53xG for2.3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.89xG against1.05
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: Counter-attackingTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Harju Jalgpallikool
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Tallinna FC Levadia
WWDLW
Season result split
74% W21% R5% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-1
2.42 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-1-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Levadia is 102% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

30Goals scored (season)49
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
34Goals conceded (season)16
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
3.2Average goals in match3.42
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
10Goals scored (last 5)10
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
50%2 goals74%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
15%3 goals42%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
5%4 goals16%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal74%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
55%2 goals11%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
30%3 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
5%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 20 matches
74%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 19 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time26%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
20%Scored in both halves63%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time79%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
58% leading37% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)2.11
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.85Goals scored (1st half)1.32
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.63
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
45%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
45%No goal before half-time26%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)1.26
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
40%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
60%No goal after half-time11%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
26
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

47% W47% R5% P
40
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match1.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.61.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
8
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
9
2
16-30
8
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
10
3
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals in match 3.203.11 3.42
Both teams scored 50%58% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%66% 74%
Clean sheets 25%23% 26%
Goal before half-time 80%74% 79%
Goal after half-time 85%88% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Harju Jalgpallikool 0 - 1 - 4 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 20% matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
2 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
5 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 1:3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.58. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The statistical background for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.