Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch: match statistics
Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Harrogate Town played against AFC Hornchurch in National League (England). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: CNG Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Harrogate Town has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. AFC Hornchurch has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Harrogate Town scores 2.27 goals per game and allows 1.55. AFC Hornchurch scores 1.18 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 82% of Harrogate Town's games and 36% of AFC Hornchurch's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 64%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Harrogate Town has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.26 per game. Harrogate Town takes 12.4 shots per game, while AFC Hornchurch takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Harrogate Town leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.45 goals per game after halftime. AFC Hornchurch leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Harrogate Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For AFC Hornchurch, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Harrogate Town sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while 11th-placed AFC Hornchurch have managed just one win over the same period, scoring only 1 goal compared with the hosts’ 11. At home, Harrogate average 2.83 goals and 7.83 shots on target per match, while Hornchurch average 1 goal and 3.67 shots on target away from home. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of their chances: their home xG is 2.01, while the visitors concede chances worth an average of 1.91 xG on the road. Hornchurch lose 67% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.33 goals in them, which, combined with Harrogate’s scoring form, significantly boosts the hosts’ chances of winning. Harrogate’s defense remains a potential concern, however: they concede an average of 1.5 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is AFC Hornchurch’s attack: the visitors have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches and failed to score in half of their away games. Harrogate Town concede an average of just 0.25 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches, further limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts are more likely to find the net, averaging 1.25 goals at home, while Hornchurch concede 2.33 goals away. A counterpoint is the visitors’ xG of 1.18 and the fact that Harrogate conceded an average of 1.6 goals across their last 5 matches. Even so, Hornchurch’s marked drop in scoring form makes a match in which at least one team fails to score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Harrogate concede an average of just 0.25 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches, while Hornchurch have scored only 1 goal in total across their last five games. On the other hand, the visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals away from home, giving the hosts a genuine chance of scoring more than once. Despite this attacking advantage, Harrogate have not exceeded 3.5 total goals in any of their home matches, while this has occurred in 33% of Hornchurch’s away games. Therefore, with a forecast of 1.85 goals for the hosts and 0.70 for the visitors, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, although the league average of 3.13 goals warrants caution.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest case is for Harrogate Town to lead at the break and go on to win after 90 minutes. In their last five matches, Harrogate led at half-time three times, while AFC Hornchurch were trailing at that stage four times and never led. The difference is also evident in their scoring form: the hosts have recently averaged 2.2 goals per match, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors. Across the full sample of matches, Harrogate won 75% and conceded an average of 0.25 goals, while Hornchurch lost 67% and conceded an average of 2.33. The second-half records also point to Harrogate holding on to any potential lead: they have yet to concede a second-half goal, while Hornchurch have conceded 1.33 on average.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Harrogate Town | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Harrogate Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 1.2 pts / game - AFC Hornchurch
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harrogate Town is 92% better for: goals scored per game.
2.27 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.18 goals / game - AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.55 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.45 goals / game - AFC Hornchurch
Harrogate Town scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 games), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).
AFC Hornchurch scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harrogate Town
Over / Under - AFC Hornchurch
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harrogate Town is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 0.64 pts / game - AFC Hornchurch
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AFC Hornchurch - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Harrogate Town
AFC Hornchurch
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Harrogate Town | Liga | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.82 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 64% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 18% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
The National League match finished Harrogate Town 3:0 AFC Hornchurch. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Harrogate Town score 2.27 goals per game on average and AFC Hornchurch 1.18. The National League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Harrogate Town's matches and 36% of AFC Hornchurch's.
What form are Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch in?
Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and AFC Hornchurch 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.