England - EFL League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics

135%(2.50)
X35%(3.25)
230%(2.50)

The match between Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town promises to be a tight clash between two struggling teams from the bottom of the table. Harrogate occupies 23rd place and has a disastrous home record (18% wins, 71% losses), yet their recent form shows improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games. Cheltenham, in 19th position, presents even weaker current form—merely 0.6 points per match in the last 5 games, with no victories in that period. The visitors have a slightly better shot conversion rate (9% vs 5%) and fail to score less frequently on the road (31% vs 59% for the hosts at home), which could give them an offensive edge. Both teams have negative goal differences and high averages of goals conceded, suggesting goals from both sides. Given the poor form of both squads, defensive and offensive issues, and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though a slight advantage for the hosts stems from playing before their own crowd.

Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Harrogate Town played against Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Harrogate Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Cheltenham Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Harrogate Town scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.50. Cheltenham Town scores 1.03 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's games and 47% of Cheltenham Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 44%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Harrogate Town has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.17 per game. Harrogate Town takes 11.1 shots per game, while Cheltenham Town takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Harrogate Town leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. Cheltenham Town leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.69 after halftime.

When the teams score

Harrogate Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Cheltenham Town, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match between Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town promises to be a tight clash between two struggling teams from the bottom of the table. Harrogate occupies 23rd place and has a disastrous home record (18% wins, 71% losses), yet their recent form shows improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games. Cheltenham, in 19th position, presents even weaker current form—merely 0.6 points per match in the last 5 games, with no victories in that period. The visitors have a slightly better shot conversion rate (9% vs 5%) and fail to score less frequently on the road (31% vs 59% for the hosts at home), which could give them an offensive edge. Both teams have negative goal differences and high averages of goals conceded, suggesting goals from both sides. Given the poor form of both squads, defensive and offensive issues, and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though a slight advantage for the hosts stems from playing before their own crowd.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

59Possession (%)41
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
21Shots11
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
5Shots on target1
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
2.08xG1.03
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
9Corners5
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
55Dangerous attacks36
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
8Fouls12
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0Cards2
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.71Goals scored / game1.03
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
1.5Goals allowed / game1.69
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
47%Average possession48%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3.35Shots on target / game3.06
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.06Shots per game10.25
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3.35Shots on target3.06
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
6.4%Shot conversion10.1%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
47%Possession48%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
1.24xG for1.17
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
1.78xG against1.71
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Shooting quality

Harrogate Town: BalancedCheltenham Town: Balanced
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
Accuracy (shots on target)30%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Harrogate Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 1 pts / game - Cheltenham Town

Harrogate Town
LWDWD
Season result split
18% W24% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-20
0.76 pts / game · goal difference -27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-12
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Cheltenham Town
LLDDW
Season result split
31% W16% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-17
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cheltenham Town is 45% better for: goals scored per game.

0.71 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.03 goals / game - Cheltenham Town

Harrogate Town is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.69 goals / game - Cheltenham Town

Harrogate Town scoring profile: strong

Harrogate Town scores in 56% of games (19 of 34 meczów), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).

Cheltenham Town scoring profile: very strong

Cheltenham Town scores in 69% of games (22 of 32 meczów), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 meczów).

24Goals scored (season)33
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
51Goals conceded (season)54
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
2.21Average goals per game2.72
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
4Goals scored (last 5)7
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal69%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
12%2 goals25%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3%3 goals9%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0%4 goals0%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal75%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
44%2 goals50%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
21%3 goals22%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3%4 goals9%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time19%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
3%Scored in both halves16%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
40%BTTS - last 580%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harrogate Town - half-time state
15% leading44% draw41% trailing
Cheltenham Town - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per game (1st half)0.88
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.34
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.06
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
47%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
74%No goal before half-time69%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per game (2nd half)1.13
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.66
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
41%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town
68%No goal after half-time47%
Harrogate TownCheltenham Town

Harrogate Town - second-half results

15% W41% D44% L
30
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cheltenham Town - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding238%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Harrogate Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.00.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cheltenham Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Harrogate Town
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
5
9
16-30
1
8
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
12
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Cheltenham Town
ScoredConceded
2
11
0-15
4
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
10
10
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Harrogate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Cheltenham Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Harrogate TownLigaCheltenham Town
Average goals per game 2.212.58 2.72
Both teams scored 41%53% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%47% 44%
Clean sheets 18%27% 25%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 56%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cheltenham TownGoalIsaac HutchinsonAssist: Jake Bickerstaff
  2. Harrogate TownGoalCathal HeffernanAssist: Reece Smith
  3. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Luke YoungOff: Harry Ashfield
  4. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Ryan James BroomOff: Cole Deeming
  5. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Stephen Winston Duke-McKennaOff: Reece Smith
  6. Cheltenham TownYellow cardJonathan Tomkinson
  7. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Josh DavisonOff: George Miller
  8. Cheltenham TownYellow cardLuke Young

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Oliver YatesMatches officiated: 9
3.22Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins33%Draws11%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Harrogate Town's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cheltenham Town. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Harrogate Town 1:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Harrogate Town score 0.71 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 1.03. The EFL League Two average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's matches and 47% of Cheltenham Town's.

What form are Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town in?

Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.