England - EFL League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics

130%(3.40)
X25%(3.50)
245%(1.93)

Harrogate Town is presenting catastrophic form, occupying the last, 24th place in the table with only 15% wins at home and 77% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 9, giving them the worst PPG record of 0.2. Fleetwood Town, despite a weak recent series of 5 defeats, possesses significantly better away statistics: 23% wins on the road, higher scoring efficiency (0.92 goals per match vs 0.62 for Harrogate), and a better shot conversion rate (7% vs 5%). A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in xG (1.44 vs 1.35 for the hosts) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring a goal on the road (31% vs 62% for Harrogate at home). Despite the poor current form of both teams, Fleetwood possesses a clear qualitative and statistical advantage, making them the favorites for this meeting.

Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Harrogate Town played against Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Harrogate Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Fleetwood Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Harrogate Town scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 1.63. Fleetwood Town scores 1.31 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's games and 69% of Fleetwood Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fleetwood Town has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.15 per game. Harrogate Town takes 10.1 shots per game, while Fleetwood Town takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Harrogate Town leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Fleetwood Town leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Harrogate Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Fleetwood Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Harrogate Town is presenting catastrophic form, occupying the last, 24th place in the table with only 15% wins at home and 77% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 9, giving them the worst PPG record of 0.2. Fleetwood Town, despite a weak recent series of 5 defeats, possesses significantly better away statistics: 23% wins on the road, higher scoring efficiency (0.92 goals per match vs 0.62 for Harrogate), and a better shot conversion rate (7% vs 5%). A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in xG (1.44 vs 1.35 for the hosts) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring a goal on the road (31% vs 62% for Harrogate at home). Despite the poor current form of both teams, Fleetwood possesses a clear qualitative and statistical advantage, making them the favorites for this meeting.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
17Shots15
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
4Shots on target5
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1.72xG1.52
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
6Corners5
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
51Dangerous attacks30
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
9Fouls11
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
2Cards3
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.7Goals scored / game1.31
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1.63Goals allowed / game1.31
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
47%Average possession48%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
3.04Shots on target / game4.35
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.07Shots per game11.88
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
3.04Shots on target4.35
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
7%Shot conversion11%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
47%Possession48%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1.15xG for1.37
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1.86xG against1.57
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Shooting quality

Harrogate Town: BalancedFleetwood Town: Balanced
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
Accuracy (shots on target)30%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Harrogate Town
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
15% W22% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-17
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-10
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 2.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Fleetwood Town
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
35% W27% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-10
1.31 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fleetwood Town is 87% better for: goals scored per game.

0.7 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.31 goals / game - Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.63 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 1.31 goals / game - Fleetwood Town

Harrogate Town scoring profile: strong

Harrogate Town scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).

Fleetwood Town scoring profile: very strong

Fleetwood Town scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).

19Goals scored (season)34
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
44Goals conceded (season)34
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
2.33Average goals per game2.62
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1Goals scored (last 5)2
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal81%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
11%2 goals35%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
4%3 goals12%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0%4 goals4%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal85%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
48%2 goals38%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
26%3 goals4%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
4%4 goals4%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time27%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
4%BTTS in both halves8%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
4%Scored in both halves19%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
20%BTTS - last 540%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fleetwood Town is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.81 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 1 pts / game - Fleetwood Town

Harrogate Town - half-time state
11% leading48% draw41% trailing
Fleetwood Town - half-time state
19% leading42% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.81Points per game (1st half)1
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.26Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.27
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
48%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
74%No goal before half-time54%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.81Points per game (2nd half)1.38
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
37%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town
67%No goal after half-time46%
Harrogate TownFleetwood Town

Harrogate Town - second-half results

15% W37% D48% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fleetwood Town - second-half results

31% W46% D23% L
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Harrogate Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.40
Goals scored / game0.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.21.4
Average goals per game0.21.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Fleetwood Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.20
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Harrogate Town
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
7
16-30
1
7
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Fleetwood Town
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
7
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
4
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.47
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+102%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Harrogate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Fleetwood Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Harrogate TownLigaFleetwood Town
Average goals per game 2.332.63 2.62
Both teams scored 41%55% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%48% 50%
Clean sheets 15%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 63%69% 81%
Goal after half-time 78%77% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Fleetwood TownSubstitutionOn: Matthew Joseph Virtue-ThickOff: Harrison Neal
  2. Harrogate TownYellow cardBryn Morris
  3. Fleetwood TownGoalChed EvansAssist: Josh Powell
  4. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Mark Thomas OxleyOff: Henry Gray
  5. Fleetwood TownYellow cardWill Davies
  6. Fleetwood TownSubstitutionOn: Tobias MullarkeyOff: Shaun Rooney
  7. Harrogate TownYellow cardChanse Headman
  8. Fleetwood TownYellow cardConor Haughey
  9. Harrogate TownGoalAiden MarshAssist: Mark Thomas Oxley
  10. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Conor McAlenyOff: Emmerson Sutton
  11. Fleetwood TownYellow cardElliott Michael Bonds
  12. Fleetwood TownGoalMatthew Joseph Virtue-Thick

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Oliver MackeyMatches officiated: 9
4.44Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 222%Home wins22%Draws56%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Harrogate Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fleetwood Town. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Fleetwood Town FC
3 : 2
Harrogate Town FC

FAQ

What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Harrogate Town 1:2 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Harrogate Town score 0.70 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.31. The EFL League Two average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's matches and 69% of Fleetwood Town's.

What form are Harrogate Town and Fleetwood Town in?

Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.