England - National LeagueCNG StadiumData current as of October 24, 2026

Harrogate Town vs Tamworth: match statistics

Harrogate Town crest
Harrogate Town
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Tamworth crest
Tamworth

Harrogate Town vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Harrogate Town played against Tamworth in National League (England). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: CNG Stadium. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Harrogate Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Tamworth has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Harrogate Town scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Tamworth scores 2.00 and allows 2.67. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of Harrogate Town's games and 100% of Tamworth's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 100%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tamworth has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.72 per game. Harrogate Town takes 13.3 shots per game, while Tamworth takes 17.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Harrogate Town leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.83 goals per game after halftime. Tamworth leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Harrogate Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Tamworth, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Harrogate Town sit 2nd, while Tamworth are only 20th; the hosts have won 4 of their 6 league matches this season, compared with just 1 victory for the visitors. At home, Harrogate average 3 goals with an xG of 2.08, recording 16 shots and 7.67 shots on target per match—well above Tamworth’s away figures of 2 goals, 1.53 xG and 5.33 shots on target. The key factor is the visitors’ defensive weakness on the road, where they concede an average of 3.33 goals and allow opponents to create chances worth 1.87 xG. Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and have been beaten in 67% of their away fixtures, while Harrogate have recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last five appearances. The hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet, so Tamworth could get on the scoresheet, but Harrogate’s advantage in chance creation, possession (57% compared with 35%) and finishing should see them secure the win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is very strong: both Harrogate Town and Tamworth have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far this season, compared with the league average of 65%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts concede an average of 2.00 goals per match and Tamworth as many as 3.33. In their last five games, Harrogate have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Tamworth have scored 1.8 and allowed opponents 2.6 goals. Their attacking potential is further supported by xG: the hosts create an average of 2.36 xG this season, while the visitors have posted as much as 2.05 xG across their last five matches. The BTTS scenario is clearly more likely, as both teams score regularly and their defenses consistently allow opponents to find the net.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The profile of both teams clearly points to goals: Harrogate score an average of 2.0 goals, while Tamworth concede as many as 3.33 per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 2.36 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 1.87 xG. Tamworth should also contribute, as they score an average of 2.0 goals and Harrogate have conceded at least once in every match so far. In their last five games, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 100% of matches respectively, while Tamworth’s games produced an average of 4.4 goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have seen at least 2 goals in 100% of their matches this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet even once.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Harrogate victory, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while Tamworth were trailing at that stage in 60% of their games. Harrogate have a clear edge in chance quality: their average xG is 2.36 compared with 1.53 for the visitors, while the hosts average 20.67 shots and 7.33 shots on target, versus 13.33 and 5.33 for Tamworth. After the break, Harrogate have averaged 1.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded across their last five matches, while Tamworth have conceded an average of 1.0 goal in this period. The difference is further reinforced by current form: the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 2.0 goals scored, whereas the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 and concede 2.6 goals per game. Both teams have scored and conceded in 100% of their matches so far this season, making a balanced, high-scoring first half followed by Harrogate gaining the upper hand the most logical HT/FT outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

67Possession (%)33
Harrogate TownTamworth
20Shots9
Harrogate TownTamworth
12Shots on target3
Harrogate TownTamworth
2.53xG1.23
Harrogate TownTamworth
10Corners6
Harrogate TownTamworth
60Dangerous attacks61
Harrogate TownTamworth
15Fouls18
Harrogate TownTamworth
3Cards4
Harrogate TownTamworth

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Harrogate TownTamworth
2.5Goals scored / game2
Harrogate TownTamworth
1.5Goals allowed / game2.67
Harrogate TownTamworth
52%Average possession41%
Harrogate TownTamworth
6.33Shots on target / game6.33
Harrogate TownTamworth

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.33Shots per game17
Harrogate TownTamworth
6.33Shots on target6.33
Harrogate TownTamworth
18.8%Shot conversion11.8%
Harrogate TownTamworth
52%Possession41%
Harrogate TownTamworth
1.72xG for1.94
Harrogate TownTamworth
1.24xG against1.54
Harrogate TownTamworth

Shooting quality

Harrogate Town: Efficient finishingTamworth: Attacking
Harrogate TownTamworth
Accuracy (shots on target)47%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Harrogate Town is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 0.8 pts / game - Tamworth

Harrogate Town
WDLWW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Tamworth
LLWLD
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harrogate Town is 25% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 2 goals / game - Tamworth

Harrogate Town is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Harrogate Town · 2.67 goals / game - Tamworth

Harrogate Town scoring profile: very strong

Harrogate Town scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

Tamworth scoring profile: very strong

Tamworth scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

15Goals scored (season)12
Harrogate TownTamworth
9Goals conceded (season)16
Harrogate TownTamworth
4Average goals per game4.67
Harrogate TownTamworth
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Harrogate TownTamworth
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
Harrogate TownTamworth

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Harrogate TownTamworth
83%2 goals67%
Harrogate TownTamworth
33%3 goals33%
Harrogate TownTamworth
17%4 goals0%
Harrogate TownTamworth

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal100%
Harrogate TownTamworth
50%2 goals100%
Harrogate TownTamworth
17%3 goals50%
Harrogate TownTamworth
0%4 goals17%
Harrogate TownTamworth

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time67%
Harrogate TownTamworth
17%BTTS in both halves50%
Harrogate TownTamworth
67%Scored in both halves50%
Harrogate TownTamworth

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
Harrogate TownTamworth
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Harrogate TownTamworth
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Harrogate TownTamworth

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Harrogate TownTamworth
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time83%
Harrogate TownTamworth
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Harrogate TownTamworth

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Harrogate TownTamworth
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
Harrogate TownTamworth
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Harrogate TownTamworth

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harrogate Town is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Harrogate Town · 0.5 pts / game - Tamworth

Harrogate Town - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Tamworth - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)0.5
Harrogate TownTamworth
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Harrogate TownTamworth
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)1.5
Harrogate TownTamworth
1.5Average goals (1st half)2.17
Harrogate TownTamworth
50%Clean sheet before half-time0%
Harrogate TownTamworth
33%No goal before half-time33%
Harrogate TownTamworth

After half-time (2nd half)

2.67Points per game (2nd half)1.17
Harrogate TownTamworth
1.83Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
Harrogate TownTamworth
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Harrogate TownTamworth
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2.5
Harrogate TownTamworth
50%Clean sheet after half-time17%
Harrogate TownTamworth
0%No goal after half-time17%
Harrogate TownTamworth

Harrogate Town - second-half results

83% W17% D0% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tamworth - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
3
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Harrogate Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.60
Goals scored / game0.61.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tamworth - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.20
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game1.61.0
Average goals per game2.22.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Harrogate Town
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Tamworth
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.6 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
143%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
92%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Harrogate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Tamworth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Harrogate TownLigaTamworth
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.04▲ 4.67
Both teams scored▲ 83%64%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%60%▲ 100%
Clean sheets• 17%18%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%71%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%89%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.42
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TamworthGoalBen Milnes
  2. Harrogate TownGoalBailey HobsonAssist: Josh Hmami
  3. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Riccardo CalderOff: Luke Fairlamb
  4. TamworthYellow cardMorgan Roberts
  5. Harrogate TownYellow cardShaun McCoulsky
  6. Harrogate TownYellow cardMorgan Williams
  7. Harrogate TownGoalWill McGowanAssist: Lewis Graham Cass
  8. TamworthYellow cardDaniel James Creaney
  9. Harrogate TownYellow cardWarren Matthew Burrell
  10. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Thomas Ryan McGlincheyOff: Ben Acquaye
  11. Harrogate TownGoalJosh HmamiAssist: Will McGowan
  12. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Ryan HowleyOff: Thomas James Everton Bramble
  13. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Ellis TaylorOff: Ethan Briston
  14. TamworthYellow cardNathan Tshikuna
  15. TamworthYellow cardJoe Rye

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?

The National League match finished Harrogate Town 3:1 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?

Harrogate Town score 2.50 goals per game on average and Tamworth 2.00. The National League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Harrogate Town's matches and 100% of Tamworth's.

What form are Harrogate Town and Tamworth in?

Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tamworth 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.