United States - USL ChampionshipDillon StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC: match statistics

Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hartford Athletic play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 9 July 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Dillon Stadium. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Hartford Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hartford Athletic scores 0.80 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hartford Athletic 27%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 40%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Hartford Athletic has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.20. Hartford Athletic: 11.1 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.

Match halves

Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Hartford Athletic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I back an away win (2) based on Orange County’s clear offensive superiority: they sit 2nd in the table and have 23 goals this season versus Hartford’s 10. Away, Orange averages 1.78 goals per game and has never had a match without scoring (percentage of matches without a goal 0%), while their shot conversion is 17% compared to just 6% for Hartford at home, giving them an edge in finishing chances. Hartford at home generates higher expected goals (average xG 1.49) and posts 51% possession, but this only translates to 0.67 goals per game and in 67% of home matches they fail to score, which significantly limits their real goal threat. Defensively the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, while Orange concedes 1.33 goals away and hold a positive away goal difference of +4; therefore I expect an open game favoring the more clinical visitors. I assess probabilities as 45% for Orange, 40% for a draw and 15% for Hartford.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
23Shots11
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
8Shots on target6
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
2.68xG1.44
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
17Corners4
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
95Dangerous attacks45
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
16Fouls9
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0Cards3
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.8Goals scored / match1.56
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.93Goals conceded / match1.13
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
46%Average possession45%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
3.67Shots on target / match3.5
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.13Shots per match10.5
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
3.67Shots on target3.5
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
7.2%Shot conversion14.9%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
46%Possession45%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
1.37xG for1.2
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
1.57xG against1.62
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Shooting quality

Hartford Athletic: BalancedOrange County SC: Counter-attacking
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orange County SC is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC

Hartford Athletic
WDLDL
Season result split
27% W47% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-4
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-5-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W44% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orange County SC is 95% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC

Hartford Athletic is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC

Hartford Athletic scoring profile: mixed

Hartford Athletic scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Orange County SC scoring profile: strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

12Goals scored (season)25
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
14Goals conceded (season)18
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
1.73Average goals in match2.69
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
3Goals scored (last 5)11
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal88%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
33%2 goals44%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
7%3 goals19%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0%4 goals6%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal69%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
27%2 goals38%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
7%3 goals6%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
7%4 goals0%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

27%
Hartford Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 15 matches
63%
Orange County SC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time31%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0%BTTS in both halves25%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
13%Scored in both halves31%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
20%BTTS - last 5100%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Orange County SC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC

Hartford Athletic - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.38
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.13
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
73%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
73%No goal before half-time44%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.69
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
73%No goal after half-time38%
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC

Hartford Athletic - second-half results

20% W47% R33% P
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% R19% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hartford Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Orange County SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hartford Athletic
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+126%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hartford Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Hartford AthleticLigaOrange County SC
Average goals in match 1.732.79 2.69
Both teams scored 27%58% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 38%
Clean sheets 47%26% 31%
Goal before half-time 53%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 53%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Orange County SC
3 : 2
Hartford Athletic

FAQ

What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?

The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 2:2 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?

Hartford Athletic score 0.80 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.

What form are Hartford Athletic and Orange County SC in?

Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?

The statistical background for Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.