Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Carlisle United clearly dominates this clash in terms of form and seasonal achievements. The guests occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 21 victories, while Hartlepool sits in 9th position with just 12 wins. The form of the last five matches unequivocally speaks for Carlisle—4 victories and 12 goals scored, compared to Hartlepool's catastrophic series without a single win (0-3-2) and only 5 goals. Carlisle also presents better efficiency in away matches (60% wins, 1.47 average goals per match), while Hartlepool wins only 38% of meetings at home. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the guests, and their consistency in gaining points (2.4 PPG) significantly exceeds the hosts (0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Carlisle United has decidedly higher chances of achieving victory in this match.
Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hartlepool United played against Carlisle United in National League (England). The game was played on February 25, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Hartlepool United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Carlisle United has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hartlepool United scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.09. Carlisle United scores 1.85 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Hartlepool United's games and 48% of Carlisle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 58%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.48 per game. Hartlepool United takes 11.4 shots per game, while Carlisle United takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Hartlepool United leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Carlisle United leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hartlepool United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Carlisle United, it is minutes 16-30 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United clearly dominates this clash in terms of form and seasonal achievements. The guests occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 21 victories, while Hartlepool sits in 9th position with just 12 wins. The form of the last five matches unequivocally speaks for Carlisle—4 victories and 12 goals scored, compared to Hartlepool's catastrophic series without a single win (0-3-2) and only 5 goals. Carlisle also presents better efficiency in away matches (60% wins, 1.47 average goals per match), while Hartlepool wins only 38% of meetings at home. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the guests, and their consistency in gaining points (2.4 PPG) significantly exceeds the hosts (0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Carlisle United has decidedly higher chances of achieving victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hartlepool United | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carlisle United is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Hartlepool United · 2.4 pts / game - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Hartlepool United · 1.85 goals / game - Carlisle United
Hartlepool United is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.09 goals / game - Hartlepool United · 1.15 goals / game - Carlisle United
Hartlepool United scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
Carlisle United scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 meczów), while Hartlepool United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartlepool United
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Hartlepool United · 1.64 pts / game - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartlepool United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hartlepool United
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Hartlepool United | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.27 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hartlepool United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Carlisle United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Hartlepool United 3:1 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United?
Hartlepool United score 1.18 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.85. The National League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Hartlepool United's matches and 48% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Hartlepool United and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Hartlepool United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Carlisle United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.