Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran: match statistics
Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Havadar played against Naft Gachsaran in Azadegan League (Iran). The game was played on July 11, 2026. Venue: Shohadaye Noushabad Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Havadar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Naft Gachsaran has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Havadar scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 0.53. Naft Gachsaran scores 0.72 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 1.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Havadar's games and 44% of Naft Gachsaran's. The Over 2.5 rates are 16% and 31%, compared with league averages of 30% for BTTS and 21% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Havadar has the higher season xG average, 0.91 to 0.66 per game. Havadar takes 2.6 shots per game, while Naft Gachsaran takes 0.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Havadar leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.34 goals per game after halftime. Naft Gachsaran leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.34 after halftime.
When the teams score
Havadar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Naft Gachsaran, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Azadegan League games average 1.56 goals. Both teams score in 30% of games, and 21% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havadar is the clear favorite: they sit 6th in the table and have 11 wins this season versus Naft’s 7, with a goal difference of 30 scored and 17 conceded compared to the visitors’ 23 scored and 37 conceded. In the last five matches the home side have scored 8 goals, won 3 and drawn 2 (an average of 2.2 points per game), while Naft have scored only 2 goals, have no wins and record 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). In chance creation Havadar average 3.82 shots on target and 7 shots per home game, have a conversion rate of 21% and xG 1.06, whereas the visitors average 1.6 on target, 4 shots, 13% conversion and xG 0.66. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.56 goals per home match and keep 56% clean sheets, while Naft concede 1.25 goals away with 31% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 11 goals versus 2 for Havadar. Considering the advantage in xG, shots on target and form (2.2 pts vs 0.2 pts), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally Havadar averages 0.75 goals scored and concedes 1.06 per match, while Naft Gachsaran scores 0.69 and concedes 1.25, which together yields only 1.44 goals per match by average goals scored. In the last 5 matches Havadar scored 8 goals (1.6 per match) and conceded 2 (0.4 per match), whereas Naft has only 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per match) and conceded 11 (2.2 per match). Seasonal BTTS rate is 31% for Havadar and 56% for Naft, but in the last 5 matches BTTS stood at 40% and 20%, suggesting current form reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, the league BTTS level is only 30%, and the clean sheet rate in the league reaches 93%, which favors matches with at least one team keeping a clean sheet. Considering Naft’s poor finishing (0.4 goals recently), Havadar’s solid defense in the last 5 (only 2 conceded) and league trends, I tip No Goal / BTTS - No with an estimated probability of around 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combining recent form and seasonal indicators yields expected goals of 1.45 for Havadar and 0.64 for Naft, a total of 2.09 goals. Havadar scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), while Naft conceded 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 per match), and seasonally both teams have 63% of matches over 1.5 goals. A Poisson distribution with lambda=2.09 gives about a 62% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about a 35% chance of Over 2.5, which is close to the seasonal Over 2.5 rate of 31%. Additionally, Naft has xG_for 0.66 and concedes on average 1.38 xG, while Havadar in the last 5 has xG_for 0.8 and form "ddwww", favoring the home side to create chances. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (over) with an estimated probability of around 62%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor Havadar: the hosts led at the break in 5 matches (31% of the season), and in the last 5 fixtures they held a lead at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), with an average first-half goals of 1.2 for Havadar versus 0.0 for Naft. Naft Gachsaran has only a 6% win rate this season and has not won in their last 5 matches (0%), conceding an average of 2.2 goals over that period, which significantly undermines their chances of maintaining a lead. Over a longer recent sample Havadar has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the last 5 matches, while Naft averages 0.4 scored and 2.2 conceded; season points per game are 1.38 for Havadar at home vs. 0.75 for Naft away. Considering these specific figures and the league’s low scoring environment (an average of 1.56 goals per match and 93% of games featuring a clean sheet), the strongest scenario is Havadar leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), which I assess at roughly 48%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Havadar | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | -34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.36 | 1.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.91 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Havadar is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Havadar · 0.2 pts / game - Naft Gachsaran
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havadar is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Havadar · 0.72 goals / game - Naft Gachsaran
Havadar is 119% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.53 goals / game - Havadar · 1.16 goals / game - Naft Gachsaran
Havadar scores in 56% of games (18 of 32 meczów), while Naft Gachsaran keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 meczów).
Naft Gachsaran scores in 56% of games (18 of 32 meczów), while Havadar keeps a clean sheet in 63% (20 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havadar
Over / Under - Naft Gachsaran
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Havadar is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Havadar · 1.19 pts / game - Naft Gachsaran
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havadar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Naft Gachsaran - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Havadar
Naft Gachsaran
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Havadar | Liga | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.47 | 1.56 | ▲ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HavadarGoalSaeid Gholamalibeigi
Head-to-head
Record from Havadar's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Naft Gachsaran. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
The Azadegan League match finished Havadar 2:2 Naft Gachsaran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
Havadar score 0.94 goals per game on average and Naft Gachsaran 0.72. The Azadegan League average is 1.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Havadar's matches and 44% of Naft Gachsaran's.
What form are Havadar and Naft Gachsaran in?
Over the last 5 games Havadar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Naft Gachsaran 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
The statistical background for Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.