Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Haverfordwest County played against Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Haverfordwest County has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Briton Ferry has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Haverfordwest County scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.71. Briton Ferry scores 1.38 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Haverfordwest County's games and 62% of Briton Ferry's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 62%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Briton Ferry has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.34 per game. Haverfordwest County takes 10.9 shots per game, while Briton Ferry takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Haverfordwest County leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Briton Ferry leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Haverfordwest County's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Briton Ferry, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Haverfordwest County | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Haverfordwest County is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Haverfordwest County · 1 pts / game - Briton Ferry
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haverfordwest County is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Haverfordwest County · 1.81 goals / game - Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Briton Ferry scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haverfordwest County
Over / Under - Briton Ferry
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Briton Ferry is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Haverfordwest County · 1.43 pts / game - Briton Ferry
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 24%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Haverfordwest County
Briton Ferry
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Haverfordwest County | Liga | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.05 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Haverfordwest County's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Briton Ferry. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Haverfordwest County 2:3 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
Haverfordwest County score 1.33 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Haverfordwest County's matches and 62% of Briton Ferry's.
What form are Haverfordwest County and Briton Ferry in?
Over the last 5 games Haverfordwest County have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.