Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of September 13, 2026

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU: match statistics

145%(2.34)
X35%(3.20)
220%(2.95)

Haverfordwest County is in excellent shape over their last five matches, picking up 12 points (4 wins, 1 defeat), which yields an impressive 2.4 points per game. Cardiff MU, conversely, is in a clear crisis, earning a mere 0.8 points per game in their last five fixtures without a single victory (4 draws, 1 defeat). The hosts have an offensive edge, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Cardiff MU scores only 1.54 goals on the road. The high percentage of draws for Cardiff MU in away matches (62%) combined with Haverfordwest's solid home form suggests that the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be ignored. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, but factoring in the possibility of a draw due to Cardiff MU's playing characteristics.

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Haverfordwest County played against Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Haverfordwest County has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Cardiff MU has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Haverfordwest County scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.56. Cardiff MU scores 1.38 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Haverfordwest County's games and 69% of Cardiff MU's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 54%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Haverfordwest County has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.37 per game. Haverfordwest County takes 11.5 shots per game, while Cardiff MU takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Haverfordwest County leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.85 after halftime.

When the teams score

Haverfordwest County's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Cardiff MU, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Haverfordwest County is in excellent shape over their last five matches, picking up 12 points (4 wins, 1 defeat), which yields an impressive 2.4 points per game. Cardiff MU, conversely, is in a clear crisis, earning a mere 0.8 points per game in their last five fixtures without a single victory (4 draws, 1 defeat). The hosts have an offensive edge, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Cardiff MU scores only 1.54 goals on the road. The high percentage of draws for Cardiff MU in away matches (62%) combined with Haverfordwest's solid home form suggests that the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be ignored. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, but factoring in the possibility of a draw due to Cardiff MU's playing characteristics.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

61Possession (%)39
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
9Shots4
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
5Shots on target1
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.32xG0.55
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
7Corners2
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
56Dangerous attacks30
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
11Fouls12
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
2Cards3
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.44Goals scored / game1.38
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.56Goals allowed / game1.58
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
50%Average possession47%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
4.67Shots on target / game3.92
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.52Shots per game10.73
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
4.67Shots on target3.92
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
12.5%Shot conversion12.9%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
50%Possession47%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.42xG for1.37
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.43xG against1.47
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Shooting quality

Haverfordwest County: BalancedCardiff MU: Counter-attacking
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
Accuracy (shots on target)41%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Haverfordwest County is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Haverfordwest County · 0.8 pts / game - Cardiff MU

Haverfordwest County
WWWWL
Season result split
37% W22% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-11
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Cardiff MU
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
23% W50% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-13-7
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-8-2
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Haverfordwest County scoring profile: very strong

Haverfordwest County scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).

Cardiff MU scoring profile: strong

Cardiff MU scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).

39Goals scored (season)36
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
42Goals conceded (season)41
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
3Average goals per game2.96
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
9Goals scored (last 5)4
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal77%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
52%2 goals42%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
15%3 goals15%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
0%4 goals4%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal85%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
48%2 goals42%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
33%3 goals19%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
7%4 goals12%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
Haverfordwest County - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 27 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time15%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
15%Scored in both halves19%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
20%BTTS - last 580%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Haverfordwest County is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / game - Haverfordwest County · 1.04 pts / game - Cardiff MU

Haverfordwest County - half-time state
30% leading37% draw33% trailing
Cardiff MU - half-time state
27% leading23% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per game (1st half)1.04
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.35
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
63%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
67%No goal before half-time62%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per game (2nd half)1.31
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
1.93Average goals (2nd half)1.62
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
48%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU
41%No goal after half-time42%
Haverfordwest CountyCardiff MU

Haverfordwest County - second-half results

48% W19% D33% L
34
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cardiff MU - second-half results

35% W27% D38% L
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 23%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Haverfordwest County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cardiff MU - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Haverfordwest County
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
7
8
16-30
3
4
31-45
8
10
46-60
5
10
61-75
14
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Cardiff MU
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
5
8
16-30
4
6
31-45
11
7
46-60
4
4
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Haverfordwest County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Cardiff MU

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Haverfordwest CountyLigaCardiff MU
Average goals per game 3.002.96 2.96
Both teams scored 44%51% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%55% 54%
Clean sheets 37%29% 15%
Goal before half-time 67%73% 81%
Goal after half-time 85%76% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Haverfordwest CountyYellow cardPanashe Makwiramiti
  2. Cardiff MUSubstitutionOn: Jake MorrisOff: Lewis Rees
  3. Cardiff MUSubstitutionOn: Barney SoadyOff: Eliot Evans
  4. Cardiff MUYellow cardChris Craven
  5. Haverfordwest CountyYellow cardBen Ahmun
  6. Cardiff MUYellow cardDixon Kabongo
  7. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Owain JonesOff: Panashe Makwiramiti
  8. Haverfordwest CountyGoalOwain Jones
  9. Cardiff MUYellow cardJoel Edwards

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Haverfordwest County's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Cardiff MU. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Haverfordwest County 1:0 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest County won 1, Cardiff MU won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Haverfordwest County score 1.44 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Haverfordwest County's matches and 69% of Cardiff MU's.

What form are Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU in?

Over the last 5 games Haverfordwest County have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cardiff MU 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

The statistical background for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.