Denmark - 1st DivisionData current as of October 15, 2026

HB Køge vs AB: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

HB Køge vs AB: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

HB Køge plays AB in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026.

Recent form

HB Køge has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. AB has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

HB Køge scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.70. AB scores 1.30 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of HB Køge's games and 40% of AB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 40%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

HB Køge has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.45 per game. HB Køge takes 15.7 shots per game, while AB takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

HB Køge leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. AB leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

HB Køge's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For AB, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.3Goals scored / game1.3
HB KøgeAB
1.7Goals allowed / game1
HB KøgeAB
52%Average possession46%
HB KøgeAB
4.3Shots on target / game4.4
HB KøgeAB

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.7Shots per game12.7
HB KøgeAB
4.3Shots on target4.4
HB KøgeAB
8.3%Shot conversion10.2%
HB KøgeAB
52%Possession46%
HB KøgeAB
1.67xG for1.45
HB KøgeAB
1.56xG against1.58
HB KøgeAB

Shooting quality

HB Køge: AttackingAB: Balanced
HB KøgeAB
Accuracy (shots on target)27%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

HB Køge is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - HB Køge · 1.2 pts / game - AB

HB Køge
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
AB
LLLWW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AB is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.7 goals / game - HB Køge · 1 goals / game - AB

HB Køge scoring profile: strong

HB Køge scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while AB keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

AB scoring profile: very strong

AB scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

13Goals scored (season)13
HB KøgeAB
17Goals conceded (season)10
HB KøgeAB
3Average goals per game2.3
HB KøgeAB
10Goals scored (last 5)6
HB KøgeAB
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
HB KøgeAB

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
HB KøgeAB
40%2 goals40%
HB KøgeAB
10%3 goals20%
HB KøgeAB
10%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAB

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal70%
HB KøgeAB
70%2 goals30%
HB KøgeAB
20%3 goals0%
HB KøgeAB
0%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
HB KøgeAB
10%BTTS in both halves10%
HB KøgeAB
20%Scored in both halves30%
HB KøgeAB

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
HB KøgeAB
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
HB KøgeAB
60%BTTS - last 520%
HB KøgeAB

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
HB KøgeAB
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HB KøgeAB
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HB KøgeAB

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
HB KøgeAB
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
HB KøgeAB
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HB KøgeAB

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AB is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - HB Køge · 1.4 pts / game - AB

HB Køge - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
AB - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.4
HB KøgeAB
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.7
HB KøgeAB
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
HB KøgeAB
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.3
HB KøgeAB
40%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HB KøgeAB
70%No goal before half-time50%
HB KøgeAB

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.5
HB KøgeAB
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
HB KøgeAB
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
HB KøgeAB
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1
HB KøgeAB
30%Clean sheet after half-time60%
HB KøgeAB
50%No goal after half-time50%
HB KøgeAB

HB Køge - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AB - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

HB Køge - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.60
Goals scored / game0.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
AB - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
4
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AB
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HB KøgeLigaAB
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.78▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 50%62%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%53%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 20%24%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%77%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do HB Køge and AB play?

HB Køge face AB on October 16, 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs AB?

HB Køge score 1.30 goals per game on average and AB 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of HB Køge's matches and 40% of AB's.

What form are HB Køge and AB in?

Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and AB 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs AB?

The statistical background for HB Køge vs AB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.