Denmark - 1st DivisionData current as of September 08, 2026

HB Køge vs Esbjerg: match statistics

HB Køge crest
HB Køge
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Esbjerg crest
Esbjerg
130%(2.80)
X25%(3.40)
245%(2.14)

Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.

HB Køge vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

HB Køge played against Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

HB Køge has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Esbjerg has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

HB Køge scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.84. Esbjerg scores 1.47 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 68% of HB Køge's games and 53% of Esbjerg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 47%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Esbjerg has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.29 per game. HB Køge takes 11.7 shots per game, while Esbjerg takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

HB Køge leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Esbjerg leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

HB Køge's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Esbjerg, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
HB KøgeEsbjerg
18Shots17
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1Shots on target6
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.75xG1.87
HB KøgeEsbjerg
7Corners6
HB KøgeEsbjerg
75Dangerous attacks52
HB KøgeEsbjerg
8Fouls13
HB KøgeEsbjerg
0Cards3
HB KøgeEsbjerg

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.21Goals scored / game1.47
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.84Goals allowed / game1.37
HB KøgeEsbjerg
42%Average possession49%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
3.68Shots on target / game5.05
HB KøgeEsbjerg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.74Shots per game13
HB KøgeEsbjerg
3.68Shots on target5.05
HB KøgeEsbjerg
10.3%Shot conversion11.3%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
42%Possession49%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.29xG for1.52
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.65xG against1.43
HB KøgeEsbjerg

Shooting quality

HB Køge: BalancedEsbjerg: Balanced
HB KøgeEsbjerg
Accuracy (shots on target)31%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Esbjerg is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - HB Køge · 2.4 pts / game - Esbjerg

HB Køge
WDDLD
Season result split
26% W21% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Esbjerg
WWLWW
Season result split
53% W11% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-7
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Esbjerg is 21% better for: goals scored per game.

1.21 goals / game - HB Køge · 1.47 goals / game - Esbjerg

Esbjerg is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.84 goals / game - HB Køge · 1.37 goals / game - Esbjerg

HB Køge scoring profile: very strong

HB Køge scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).

Esbjerg scoring profile: very strong

Esbjerg scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)28
HB KøgeEsbjerg
35Goals conceded (season)26
HB KøgeEsbjerg
3.05Average goals per game2.84
HB KøgeEsbjerg
8Goals scored (last 5)12
HB KøgeEsbjerg
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
HB KøgeEsbjerg

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal68%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
37%2 goals37%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
5%3 goals26%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
0%4 goals11%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal84%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
63%2 goals47%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
26%3 goals5%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
5%4 goals0%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time21%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
5%BTTS in both halves11%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
26%Scored in both halves32%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
100%BTTS - last 580%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HB Køge - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing
Esbjerg - half-time state
32% leading26% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per game (1st half)1.21
HB KøgeEsbjerg
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.68
HB KøgeEsbjerg
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.42
HB KøgeEsbjerg
53%Clean sheet before half-time37%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
58%No goal before half-time63%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.37
HB KøgeEsbjerg
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
HB KøgeEsbjerg
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.42
HB KøgeEsbjerg
32%Clean sheet after half-time42%
HB KøgeEsbjerg
37%No goal after half-time37%
HB KøgeEsbjerg

HB Køge - second-half results

37% W26% D37% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Esbjerg - second-half results

32% W42% D26% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

HB Køge - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Esbjerg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
6
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Esbjerg
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
9
2
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.95
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Esbjerg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HB KøgeLigaEsbjerg
Average goals per game 3.052.82 2.84
Both teams scored 68%58% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%57% 47%
Clean sheets 11%24% 16%
Goal before half-time 74%77% 79%
Goal after half-time 95%81% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. EsbjergYellow cardSander Eng Strand
  2. EsbjergYellow cardPeter Bjur
  3. EsbjergSubstitutionOn: Noah Oliver StrandbyOff: Sander Eng Strand
  4. EsbjergYellow cardMuamer Brajanac

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jesper NielsenMatches officiated: 14
3.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 214%Home wins43%Draws43%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from HB Køge's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Esbjerg. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Esbjerg fB
3 : 2
HB Køge

FAQ

What was the result of HB Køge vs Esbjerg?

The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 0:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Esbjerg?

HB Køge score 1.21 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.47. The 1st Division average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 68% of HB Køge's matches and 53% of Esbjerg's.

What form are HB Køge and Esbjerg in?

Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Esbjerg 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Esbjerg?

The statistical background for HB Køge vs Esbjerg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.