HB Køge vs Middelfart: match statistics
HB Køge vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Middelfart: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Middelfart scores 1.00 and concedes 2.41. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 56%, Middelfart 59%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 53%, Middelfart 72%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
HB Køge has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.22. HB Køge: 12.4 shots per match, Middelfart: 9.9.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Middelfart: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 31-45+ (10 goals). Middelfart: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
HB Køge holds a clear advantage across the board: the hosts average 1.17 goals per home match with xG 1.48, while Middelfart scores only 0.82 goals away with xG 1.15. The defensive gap is significant — HB Køge concedes 1.17 goals per home game, whereas the visitors concede 2.27 goals on the road; in the last 5 matches Middelfart has allowed 16 goals (3.2 per game) versus the hosts' 7 (1.4). HB Køge creates more chances: 13.42 average shots and 4.33 on target per home match with conversion around 9%, while Middelfart manages 9.73 shots and 2.45 on target with 8% conversion and fails to score in 45% of away matches. Additionally, the hosts have a 42% home win rate compared to the visitors' 9% away win rate, and have averaged 1 point in the last 5 matches while Middelfart has 0 points from five losses. For these reasons I expect a home victory; I assess HB Køge’s chances at 70% to win, 18% for a draw and 12% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HB Køge is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.6 pts / match - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - HB Køge · 1 goals / match - Middelfart
HB Køge is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - HB Køge · 2.41 goals / match - Middelfart
HB Køge scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
Middelfart scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HB Køge
Over / Under — Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HB Køge is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.88 pts / match - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HB Køge 1 - 1 - 1 Middelfart. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HB Køge vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 2:0 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and Middelfart?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 1, Middelfart won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Middelfart?
HB Køge score 1.31 goals per game on average and Middelfart 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of HB Køge's matches and 59% of Middelfart's.
What form are HB Køge and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Middelfart 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Middelfart?
The statistical background for HB Køge vs Middelfart — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.