Hearts vs Celtic: match statistics
Hearts boast impressive home form with 73% of matches won at home and just one defeat all season. The hosts haven't lost a game at their own stadium, confirmed by an 11-match unbeaten run in recent home fixtures. Despite being second in the table, Celtic show clear weaknesses on the road – 36% losses and only 55% wins, which is well below the leader's standards. The goal difference gap is telling: Hearts have +16 at home, while Celtic have just +1 away. Efficiency is also a key factor – Hearts have better shot conversion (14% vs 10%) and more clean sheets at home (55% vs 36% for Celtic away). The hosts' advantage in xG (1.74 vs 1.45) and solid defense (averaging 0.64 goals conceded) argue for their victory, although Celtic's high quality and possession (67%) could make this a close encounter.
Hearts vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hearts played against Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Hearts has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Celtic has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hearts scores 1.91 goals per game and allows 0.77. Celtic scores 1.77 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Hearts's games and 41% of Celtic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 59%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celtic has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.64 per game. Hearts takes 14.3 shots per game, while Celtic takes 16.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Hearts leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Celtic leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Celtic, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts boast impressive home form with 73% of matches won at home and just one defeat all season. The hosts haven't lost a game at their own stadium, confirmed by an 11-match unbeaten run in recent home fixtures. Despite being second in the table, Celtic show clear weaknesses on the road – 36% losses and only 55% wins, which is well below the leader's standards. The goal difference gap is telling: Hearts have +16 at home, while Celtic have just +1 away. Efficiency is also a key factor – Hearts have better shot conversion (14% vs 10%) and more clean sheets at home (55% vs 36% for Celtic away). The hosts' advantage in xG (1.74 vs 1.45) and solid defense (averaging 0.64 goals conceded) argue for their victory, although Celtic's high quality and possession (67%) could make this a close encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Hearts · 1.8 pts / game - Celtic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.91 goals / game - Hearts · 1.77 goals / game - Celtic
Hearts is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.77 goals / game - Hearts · 0.95 goals / game - Celtic
Hearts scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 meczów).
Celtic scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - Celtic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celtic is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Hearts · 1.86 pts / game - Celtic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hearts
Celtic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hearts's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Celtic. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs Celtic?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 2:2 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Celtic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hearts won 2, Celtic won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Celtic?
Hearts score 1.91 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.77. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Hearts's matches and 41% of Celtic's.
What form are Hearts and Celtic in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Celtic 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Celtic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Celtic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.