Hearts vs Hibernian: match statistics
Hearts are in significantly better form and possess superior statistics, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts are incredibly effective at home, winning 67% of home matches and keeping a clean sheet in half of them, while conceding an average of just 0.75 goals. Hibernian shows average form in away matches with a 33% win rate and an equal loss rate, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. The difference in offensive quality is clear - Hearts score an average of 2.08 goals in home matches with an xG of 1.74, while Hibernian manages only 1.33 goals away with an xG of 1.34. The visitors' recent form (1 win in 5 matches, 1.0 PPG) and negative away run (wddlwdwlldwl) further favor a home win. Hearts' +16 goal difference at home compared to Hibernian's zero balance away confirms the favorite's advantage.
Hearts vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hearts played against Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on February 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Hearts has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Hibernian has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hearts scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 0.80. Hibernian scores 1.64 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Hearts's games and 56% of Hibernian's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 56%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.56 per game. Hearts takes 14.2 shots per game, while Hibernian takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Hearts leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.12 goals per game after halftime. Hibernian leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Hibernian, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts are in significantly better form and possess superior statistics, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts are incredibly effective at home, winning 67% of home matches and keeping a clean sheet in half of them, while conceding an average of just 0.75 goals. Hibernian shows average form in away matches with a 33% win rate and an equal loss rate, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. The difference in offensive quality is clear - Hearts score an average of 2.08 goals in home matches with an xG of 1.74, while Hibernian manages only 1.33 goals away with an xG of 1.34. The visitors' recent form (1 win in 5 matches, 1.0 PPG) and negative away run (wddlwdwlldwl) further favor a home win. Hearts' +16 goal difference at home compared to Hibernian's zero balance away confirms the favorite's advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hearts · 1.6 pts / game - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - Hearts · 1.64 goals / game - Hibernian
Hearts is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Hearts · 1.2 goals / game - Hibernian
Hearts scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 meczów), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
Hibernian scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hearts
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hearts's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Hibernian. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 1:0 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Hibernian?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hearts won 1, Hibernian won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Hibernian?
Hearts score 1.88 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.64. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hearts's matches and 56% of Hibernian's.
What form are Hearts and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hibernian 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Hibernian?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Hibernian: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.