Hearts vs Livingston: match statistics
Hearts sit top of the table and display stellar home form with a 67% win rate and a +13 goal difference at their own ground. The hosts have scored 38 goals this season, conceding just 17, translating to an average of 2.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per home match. Livingston finds themselves in 12th position with a disastrous away record—zero wins, a 60% loss rate, and a -13 goal difference on the road. The visitors have earned just 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, conceding 13 goals. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.72 vs 0.96 at home), while Livingston posts a negative xG balance away (1.09 vs 1.69). All indicators point towards a decisive home win, although Hearts' draw history (33% on home soil) leaves a slight chance of points being shared.
Hearts vs Livingston: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hearts played against Livingston in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Hearts has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Livingston has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Hearts scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.89. Livingston scores 1.05 and allows 2.05. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Hearts's games and 68% of Livingston's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 74%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.19 per game. Hearts takes 14.6 shots per game, while Livingston takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Hearts leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.21 goals per game after halftime. Livingston leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Livingston, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts sit top of the table and display stellar home form with a 67% win rate and a +13 goal difference at their own ground. The hosts have scored 38 goals this season, conceding just 17, translating to an average of 2.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per home match. Livingston finds themselves in 12th position with a disastrous away record—zero wins, a 60% loss rate, and a -13 goal difference on the road. The visitors have earned just 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, conceding 13 goals. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.72 vs 0.96 at home), while Livingston posts a negative xG balance away (1.09 vs 1.69). All indicators point towards a decisive home win, although Hearts' draw history (33% on home soil) leaves a slight chance of points being shared.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hearts · 0.2 pts / game - Livingston
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 90% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Hearts · 1.05 goals / game - Livingston
Hearts is 130% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Hearts · 2.05 goals / game - Livingston
Hearts scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 meczów).
Livingston scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - Livingston
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Hearts · 0.95 pts / game - Livingston
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 5%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hearts
Livingston
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.89 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hearts's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Livingston. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs Livingston?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 1:0 Livingston. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Livingston?
Hearts score 2.00 goals per game on average and Livingston 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hearts's matches and 68% of Livingston's.
What form are Hearts and Livingston in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Livingston 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Livingston?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Livingston: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.