Hearts vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Hearts are exhibiting dominant form as league leaders, boasting a 70% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference on home turf. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals while conceding just 4, confirming their offensive and defensive stability. St. Mirren sits in 10th place with a disastrous away record – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -9 on the road. The visitors have managed only 2 goals while conceding 6 in their last 5 outings, highlighting significant issues at both ends of the pitch. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.73 vs 1.35), while their superiority in possession (54% vs 45%) and shot conversion (14% vs 8%) further confirms the hosts' distinct advantage. Given all data points, Hearts should comfortably win this match in front of their home crowd.
Hearts vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hearts played against St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Hearts has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. St. Mirren has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hearts scores 1.90 goals per game and allows 0.81. St. Mirren scores 0.80 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Hearts's games and 40% of St. Mirren's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 35%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.39 per game. Hearts takes 14.3 shots per game, while St. Mirren takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Hearts leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. St. Mirren leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For St. Mirren, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts are exhibiting dominant form as league leaders, boasting a 70% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference on home turf. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals while conceding just 4, confirming their offensive and defensive stability. St. Mirren sits in 10th place with a disastrous away record – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -9 on the road. The visitors have managed only 2 goals while conceding 6 in their last 5 outings, highlighting significant issues at both ends of the pitch. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.73 vs 1.35), while their superiority in possession (54% vs 45%) and shot conversion (14% vs 8%) further confirms the hosts' distinct advantage. Given all data points, Hearts should comfortably win this match in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Hearts · 0.8 pts / game - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 137% better for: goals scored per game.
1.9 goals / game - Hearts · 0.8 goals / game - St. Mirren
Hearts is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.81 goals / game - Hearts · 1.4 goals / game - St. Mirren
Hearts scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
St. Mirren scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Hearts · 1.05 pts / game - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hearts
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against St. Mirren. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 2:0 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs St. Mirren?
Hearts score 1.90 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.80. The Premiership average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Hearts's matches and 40% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Hearts and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.