Bulgaria - Second LeagueStadion Georgi BenkovskiData current as of October 19, 2026

Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hebar 1918 plays Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Stadion Georgi Benkovski.

Recent form

Hebar 1918 has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Nesebar has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Hebar 1918 scores 2.25 goals per game and allows 1.67. Nesebar scores 1.67 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of Hebar 1918's games and 50% of Nesebar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 42%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hebar 1918 has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.50 per game. Hebar 1918 takes 12.2 shots per game, while Nesebar takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Hebar 1918 leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Nesebar leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hebar 1918's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Nesebar, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Second League games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.46)
(4.10)
(5.55)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.25Goals scored / game1.67
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.67Goals allowed / game1.42
Hebar 1918Nesebar
53%Average possession37%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
5.17Shots on target / game4.58
Hebar 1918Nesebar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.17Shots per game9.5
Hebar 1918Nesebar
5.17Shots on target4.58
Hebar 1918Nesebar
18.5%Shot conversion17.5%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
53%Possession37%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.59xG for1.5
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.29xG against1.33
Hebar 1918Nesebar

Shooting quality

Hebar 1918: Efficient finishingNesebar: Counter-attacking
Hebar 1918Nesebar
Accuracy (shots on target)42%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hebar 1918 is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Hebar 1918 · 1.6 pts / game - Nesebar

Hebar 1918
LWWLW
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Nesebar
WDWLD
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hebar 1918 is 35% better for: goals scored per game.

2.25 goals / game - Hebar 1918 · 1.67 goals / game - Nesebar

Nesebar is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.67 goals / game - Hebar 1918 · 1.42 goals / game - Nesebar

Hebar 1918 scoring profile: very strong

Hebar 1918 scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 games), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).

Nesebar scoring profile: very strong

Nesebar scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Hebar 1918 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

27Goals scored (season)20
Hebar 1918Nesebar
20Goals conceded (season)17
Hebar 1918Nesebar
3.92Average goals per game3.08
Hebar 1918Nesebar
15Goals scored (last 5)7
Hebar 1918Nesebar
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Hebar 1918Nesebar

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
58%2 goals33%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
42%3 goals17%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
17%4 goals17%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
50%2 goals33%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
25%3 goals25%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
8%4 goals8%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time17%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
17%BTTS in both halves0%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
50%Scored in both halves17%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
80%BTTS - last 560%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Hebar 1918 · 1.42 pts / game - Nesebar

Hebar 1918 - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing
Nesebar - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.42
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Hebar 1918Nesebar
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.25
Hebar 1918Nesebar
42%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
33%No goal before half-time50%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per game (2nd half)1.08
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
Hebar 1918Nesebar
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Hebar 1918Nesebar
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Hebar 1918Nesebar
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Hebar 1918Nesebar
17%No goal after half-time58%
Hebar 1918Nesebar

Hebar 1918 - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
16
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nesebar - second-half results

25% W33% D42% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hebar 1918 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.80
Goals scored / game1.61.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game2.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Nesebar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hebar 1918
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
132%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hebar 1918

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

Hebar 1918LigaNesebar
Average goals per game▲ 3.922.65▲ 3.08
Both teams scored▲ 83%45%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%47%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▼ 17%31%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%62%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Hebar 1918 and Nesebar play?

Hebar 1918 face Nesebar on October 23, 2026 in Second League at Stadion Georgi Benkovski. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?

Hebar 1918 score 2.25 goals per game on average and Nesebar 1.67. The Second League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Hebar 1918's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.

What form are Hebar 1918 and Nesebar in?

Over the last 5 games Hebar 1918 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nesebar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?

The statistical background for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.