Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen play Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.44 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 66%, Fortuna Sittard 76%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 71%, Fortuna Sittard 68%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.38. Heerenveen: 14.9 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 12.7.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Heerenveen are favorites: hosts average 2.07 goals per home match and have a 47% home win rate, while Fortuna Sittard score 1.33 goals on the road and win only 27% of away games. Heerenveen generate 1.85 xG at home versus Fortuna’s 1.21 xG away, and concede 1.3 xG at home compared to 1.87 xG conceded by the visitors, indicating a home advantage in chance creation and limitation. The hosts average 16.4 shots and 5.93 on target per home match, while Fortuna record 10.4 shots and 4.6 on target; additionally Fortuna have a higher share of matches without scoring—27% versus 13% for Heerenveen. In the last 5 matches Heerenveen are 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scored 11 goals and have an average points return of 2.0; Fortuna have 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, 5 goals and an average return of 0.8, conceding 10 goals. Summing the xG advantage (1.85 vs 1.21), greater volume of chances and better form (11–5 in goals over the last 5), I predict a home win; estimated probabilities: home 62%, draw 20%, away 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heerenveen is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 0.8 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.44 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.85 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heerenveen
Over / Under — Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.21 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 0 - 0 - 1 Fortuna Sittard. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 2:1 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Heerenveen score 1.69 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.44. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Heerenveen's matches and 76% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Heerenveen and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.