Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: match statistics
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heidenheim play Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Heidenheim: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hoffenheim: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heidenheim scores 1.21 and concedes 2.12 goals per match. Hoffenheim scores 1.91 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heidenheim 62%, Hoffenheim 65%. Over 2.5: Heidenheim 68%, Hoffenheim 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.25. Heidenheim: 11.4 shots per match, Hoffenheim: 14.1.
Match halves
Heidenheim: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Heidenheim: 76-90+ (11 goals). Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heidenheim | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heidenheim · 2 pts / match - Hoffenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.91 goals / match - Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.12 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.53 goals / match - Hoffenheim
Heidenheim scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Hoffenheim scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heidenheim
Over / Under — Hoffenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Heidenheim · 1.62 pts / match - Hoffenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Heidenheim | Liga | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.32 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 3% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 86% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heidenheim 0 - 0 - 1 Hoffenheim. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Heidenheim 2:4 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
Heidenheim score 1.21 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 1.91. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Heidenheim's matches and 65% of Hoffenheim's.
What form are Heidenheim and Hoffenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Heidenheim have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hoffenheim 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The statistical background for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.