Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: match statistics
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heidenheim played against Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Heidenheim has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Hoffenheim has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Heidenheim scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 2.21. Hoffenheim scores 2.04 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Heidenheim's games and 63% of Hoffenheim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hoffenheim has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.26 per game. Heidenheim takes 11.8 shots per game, while Hoffenheim takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Heidenheim leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 42% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heidenheim's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Hoffenheim, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heidenheim | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hoffenheim is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Heidenheim · 1.4 pts / game - Hoffenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 122% better for: goals scored per game.
0.92 goals / game - Heidenheim · 2.04 goals / game - Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim is 71% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.21 goals / game - Heidenheim · 1.29 goals / game - Hoffenheim
Heidenheim scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Hoffenheim scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heidenheim
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - Heidenheim · 1.54 pts / game - Hoffenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Heidenheim | Liga | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.13 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Heidenheim's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Hoffenheim. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Heidenheim 2:4 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
Heidenheim score 0.92 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 2.04. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Heidenheim's matches and 63% of Hoffenheim's.
What form are Heidenheim and Hoffenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Heidenheim have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hoffenheim 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The statistical background for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.