Heidenheim vs Köln: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Heidenheim occupies a distant 17th place in the table with just 25% wins at home and having never kept a clean sheet in home matches, making them one of the weakest home teams in the league. Köln presents similar efficiency on the road (25% wins, 50% losses), although they possess a slightly better goal difference (-5 compared to Heidenheim's -9). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (9%) and similar average xG (1.26 vs 1.21), suggesting comparable offensive quality. Recent form for both squads is poor—Heidenheim earns 1.2 points per match, while Köln only 1.0 point in their last five fixtures. Given Heidenheim's defensive weakness at home and Köln's mediocre away form, the most likely scenario is a draw, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home ground factor.
Heidenheim vs Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heidenheim play Köln in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Heidenheim: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Köln: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heidenheim scores 1.21 and concedes 2.12 goals per match. Köln scores 1.44 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heidenheim 62%, Köln 79%. Over 2.5: Heidenheim 68%, Köln 65%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Köln has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.25. Heidenheim: 11.4 shots per match, Köln: 13.4.
Match halves
Heidenheim: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Köln: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Heidenheim: 76-90+ (11 goals). Köln: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Heidenheim occupies a distant 17th place in the table with just 25% wins at home and having never kept a clean sheet in home matches, making them one of the weakest home teams in the league. Köln presents similar efficiency on the road (25% wins, 50% losses), although they possess a slightly better goal difference (-5 compared to Heidenheim's -9). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (9%) and similar average xG (1.26 vs 1.21), suggesting comparable offensive quality. Recent form for both squads is poor—Heidenheim earns 1.2 points per match, while Köln only 1.0 point in their last five fixtures. Given Heidenheim's defensive weakness at home and Köln's mediocre away form, the most likely scenario is a draw, though a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home ground factor.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heidenheim | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heidenheim is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heidenheim · 0.4 pts / match - Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Köln is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.44 goals / match - Köln
Köln is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.12 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.85 goals / match - Köln
Heidenheim scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
Köln scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heidenheim
Over / Under — Köln
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heidenheim
Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Heidenheim | Liga | Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.32 | 3.24 | • 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 3% | 21% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heidenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Köln. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heidenheim vs Köln?
The Bundesliga match finished Heidenheim 2:2 Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heidenheim vs Köln?
Heidenheim score 1.21 goals per game on average and Köln 1.44. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Heidenheim's matches and 79% of Köln's.
What form are Heidenheim and Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Heidenheim have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Köln 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heidenheim vs Köln?
The statistical background for Heidenheim vs Köln — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.