Netherlands - Eerste DivisieSolarUnie StadionData current as of October 14, 2026

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Helmond Sport plays NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: SolarUnie Stadion.

Recent form

Helmond Sport has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. NAC Breda has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Helmond Sport scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.90. NAC Breda scores 2.00 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 3.52 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 90% of Helmond Sport's games and 80% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 80%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 2.12 to 1.34 per game. Helmond Sport takes 11.8 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 20.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Helmond Sport leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Helmond Sport's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.52 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.50)
(4.60)
(1.46)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.6Goals scored / game2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.9Goals allowed / game1.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
45%Average possession57%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
4.2Shots on target / game6.4
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.8Shots per game20.8
Helmond SportNAC Breda
4.2Shots on target6.4
Helmond SportNAC Breda
13.6%Shot conversion9.6%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
45%Possession57%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.34xG for2.12
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.86xG against1.1
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Shooting quality

Helmond Sport: Counter-attackingNAC Breda: Dominant
Helmond SportNAC Breda
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

NAC Breda is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Helmond Sport · 2 pts / game - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport
WLLDL
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
NAC Breda
LWWDW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 25% better for: goals scored per game.

1.6 goals / game - Helmond Sport · 2 goals / game - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport scoring profile: very strong

Helmond Sport scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).

16Goals scored (season)20
Helmond SportNAC Breda
19Goals conceded (season)19
Helmond SportNAC Breda
3.5Average goals per game3.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
7Goals scored (last 5)11
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
Helmond SportNAC Breda

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%2 goals80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
20%3 goals20%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%4 goals10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal90%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
70%2 goals70%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
20%3 goals20%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0%4 goals10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

70%BTTS at half-time40%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%BTTS in both halves10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Scored in both halves30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
80%BTTS - last 580%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NAC Breda is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Helmond Sport · 1.9 pts / game - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
NAC Breda - half-time state
60% leading10% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1Goals scored (1st half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Helmond SportNAC Breda
2.1Average goals (1st half)1.7
Helmond SportNAC Breda
30%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%No goal before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.4Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
60%No goal after half-time50%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Helmond Sport - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
10
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

NAC Breda - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Helmond Sport - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
NAC Breda - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.00
Goals scored / game1.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game2.21.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Helmond Sport
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
85%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Helmond Sport

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Helmond SportLigaNAC Breda
Average goals per game• 3.503.52▲ 3.90
Both teams scored▲ 90%67%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%67%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 0%18%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%80%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.52
Average goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
2.03
Home goals / game
1.49
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Helmond Sport and NAC Breda play?

Helmond Sport face NAC Breda on October 16, 2026 in Eerste Divisie at SolarUnie Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Helmond Sport score 1.60 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 2.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Helmond Sport's matches and 80% of NAC Breda's.

What form are Helmond Sport and NAC Breda in?

Over the last 5 games Helmond Sport have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.