Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
The match promises to be a closely contested clash between two teams with defensive issues. Heracles are 18th in the table and are on a disastrous run – just 1 point in their last 5 matches, but at home they show greater offensive efficiency (averaging 2 goals per game) with a high average xG (1.59). Fortuna Sittard are in slightly better form (7 points in their last 5 matches), but they struggle away from home – just a 20% win rate and 0% clean sheets. A key factor is the defense of both teams: Heracles concede an average of 2.56 goals at home, while Fortuna concede 1.9 away, suggesting an entertaining match with plenty of goals (an average of 4.56 goals in Heracles' home games). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation and the instability of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heracles played against Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Heracles has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Fortuna Sittard has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Heracles scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.60. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.50 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Heracles's games and 70% of Fortuna Sittard's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 60%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fortuna Sittard has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.26 per game. Heracles takes 11.1 shots per game, while Fortuna Sittard takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Heracles leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Fortuna Sittard leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heracles's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Fortuna Sittard, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a closely contested clash between two teams with defensive issues. Heracles are 18th in the table and are on a disastrous run – just 1 point in their last 5 matches, but at home they show greater offensive efficiency (averaging 2 goals per game) with a high average xG (1.59). Fortuna Sittard are in slightly better form (7 points in their last 5 matches), but they struggle away from home – just a 20% win rate and 0% clean sheets. A key factor is the defense of both teams: Heracles concede an average of 2.56 goals at home, while Fortuna concede 1.9 away, suggesting an entertaining match with plenty of goals (an average of 4.56 goals in Heracles' home games). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation and the instability of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortuna Sittard is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Heracles · 1.5 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.6 goals / game - Heracles · 1.7 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Heracles scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortuna Sittard is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - Heracles · 1.1 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 3.26 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Heracles's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Fortuna Sittard. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 2:1 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Heracles score 1.40 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.50. The Eredivisie average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Heracles's matches and 70% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Heracles and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.