Heracles vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Heracles, despite their difficult league position (17th), demonstrate significantly better offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game with a high shot conversion rate (14%). The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.58 vs 1.32) and a much stronger home record (40% wins) compared to NAC Breda's utterly dismal away form (0% wins on the road). NAC Breda has failed to win any of their last five matches and fails to score in half of their away games (FTS% 50%), which, coupled with the hosts' poor defense, could lead to a draw. Heracles has a realistic chance of victory, although their defense remains problematic (conceding an average of 2.4 goals at home). Both teams are in poor form, but the home advantage and NAC's complete lack of away wins favor a Heracles win, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive issues of both sides.
Heracles vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heracles played against NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Heracles has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. NAC Breda has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Heracles scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 2.59. NAC Breda scores 1.05 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Heracles's games and 55% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 55%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.26 per game. Heracles takes 11.1 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Heracles leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heracles's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heracles, despite their difficult league position (17th), demonstrate significantly better offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game with a high shot conversion rate (14%). The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.58 vs 1.32) and a much stronger home record (40% wins) compared to NAC Breda's utterly dismal away form (0% wins on the road). NAC Breda has failed to win any of their last five matches and fails to score in half of their away games (FTS% 50%), which, coupled with the hosts' poor defense, could lead to a draw. Heracles has a realistic chance of victory, although their defense remains problematic (conceding an average of 2.4 goals at home). Both teams are in poor form, but the home advantage and NAC's complete lack of away wins favor a Heracles win, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive issues of both sides.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Heracles · 1.05 goals / game - NAC Breda
NAC Breda is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.59 goals / game - Heracles · 1.64 goals / game - NAC Breda
Heracles scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of games (13 of 22 meczów), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Heracles · 0.95 pts / game - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heracles
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 19% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 83% | • 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Heracles's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against NAC Breda. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 0:1 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Heracles score 1.41 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.05. The Eredivisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Heracles's matches and 55% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Heracles and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and NAC Breda 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for Heracles vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.