Heracles vs PSV: match statistics
PSV is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 20 wins this season. The visitors win a staggering 92% of away matches and have not recorded a single draw on the road, demonstrating their dominance. Heracles is located in 18th position, with just 5 wins this season and disastrous form – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -5 at home. PSV scores an average of 2.58 goals away while conceding just 1 goal per match, whereas Heracles concedes an average of 2.27 goals in home games. The difference in class, form, and offensive quality clearly points to a certain victory for the visitors.
Heracles vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heracles played against PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Heracles has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. PSV has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Heracles scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 2.58. PSV scores 2.92 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Heracles's games and 71% of PSV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 83%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSV has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.24 per game. Heracles takes 11.1 shots per game, while PSV takes 17.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Heracles leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. PSV leads at halftime in 58% and scores 1.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heracles's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For PSV, it is minutes 16-30 (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 20 wins this season. The visitors win a staggering 92% of away matches and have not recorded a single draw on the road, demonstrating their dominance. Heracles is located in 18th position, with just 5 wins this season and disastrous form – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -5 at home. PSV scores an average of 2.58 goals away while conceding just 1 goal per match, whereas Heracles concedes an average of 2.27 goals in home games. The difference in class, form, and offensive quality clearly points to a certain victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSV is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Heracles · 2 pts / game - PSV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 126% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Heracles · 2.92 goals / game - PSV
PSV is 113% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.58 goals / game - Heracles · 1.21 goals / game - PSV
Heracles scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
PSV scores in 96% of games (23 of 24 meczów), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - PSV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - Heracles · 2 pts / game - PSV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
PSV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heracles
PSV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | PSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.88 | 3.21 | ▲ 4.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 18% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Heracles's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against PSV. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs PSV?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 1:3 PSV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs PSV?
Heracles score 1.29 goals per game on average and PSV 2.92. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Heracles's matches and 71% of PSV's.
What form are Heracles and PSV in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and PSV 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs PSV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heracles vs PSV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.