Netherlands - Eerste DivisieAsito StadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics

Heracles crest
Heracles
3 : 0half-time 0:0
RKC Waalwijk crest
RKC Waalwijk

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Heracles played against RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on October 9, 2026. Venue: Asito Stadion. Final score: 3:0.

Recent form

Heracles has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. RKC Waalwijk has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Heracles scores 3.11 goals per game and allows 1.33. RKC Waalwijk scores 2.11 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Heracles's games and 78% of RKC Waalwijk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 44%, compared with league averages of 71% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Heracles has the higher season xG average, 2.46 to 1.72 per game. Heracles takes 22.2 shots per game, while RKC Waalwijk takes 14.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Heracles leads at halftime in 78% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. RKC Waalwijk leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Heracles's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For RKC Waalwijk, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.63 goals. Both teams score in 71% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Heracles have won all 4 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.25 goals, while RKC Waalwijk have won just 1 of their 4 away games, averaging 1 goal in those matches. The hosts are also creating more dangerous chances: their home xG stands at 2.55, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.76, and they lead in shots on target by 10 to 5.5 per match. Both teams concede an average of 1 goal on these respective grounds, but Heracles have kept a clean sheet in half of their home matches, compared with RKC in a quarter of their away games. Both sides have recorded 3 wins in their last 5 league matches, but Heracles’ goal difference of 12:5 and RKC’s 13:6 do not offset the hosts’ clear advantage at home. A draw remains possible, particularly as RKC have drawn 2 of their 4 away games, but Heracles’ scoring form points towards a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Heracles have seen both teams score in 100% of their home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet on every occasion, increasing the likelihood of RKC finding the net. The hosts average 3.0 goals scored at home, while the visitors concede 1.0 per match, making a Heracles goal likely as well. RKC score just 1.0 goal per away match and have failed to score in 25% of their matches, but their average xG is 1.76, compared with 1.48 xG conceded by the hosts' defense. Caution is warranted, as BTTS has landed in 50% of RKC's away matches and in 40% and 60% of the teams' last five matches, respectively. Despite these caveats, Heracles' failure to keep a clean sheet at home and both teams' attacking potential support the BTTS - Yes pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Heracles average 3.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home, with at least two goals in 100% of their home matches. RKC’s away games have also all gone over 1.5 goals, although none have exceeded 2.5, making the higher line less certain. The xG figures also point to goals: Heracles generate 1.68 xG at home and RKC 1.76 xG away, while the chances they concede are worth 1.48 and 1.09 xG respectively. Over their last five matches, Heracles have averaged 2.4 goals scored and RKC 2.6, supporting a forecast of 3.3 goals in total. Over 1.5 therefore remains the strongest signal, backed by both teams’ results so far in the relevant home and away roles.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Heracles led at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches, while RKC were trailing after 45 minutes in 3 of their 4 away games. The hosts average 1.4 goals before half-time at home, and the visitors have failed to score in the first half away from home, pointing to an early Heracles lead. Across full matches, Heracles average 3.0 goals at home and remain unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 2 wins and 3 draws. However, holding on to the lead is not guaranteed: RKC won the second half in 3 of their 4 away games and have averaged 2.6 goals over their last 5 matches, compared with 2.4 for Heracles. Despite the threat of a draw, the hosts’ advantage at the break and their home scoring record make a Heracles HT/FT win the most likely single outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
3 : 0
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
23Shots6
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
8Shots on target1
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
2.55xG0.64
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
9Corners5
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
75Dangerous attacks24
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
16Fouls17
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1Cards3
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
3.11Goals scored / game2.11
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1.33Goals allowed / game1.33
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
55%Average possession51%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
8.78Shots on target / game5.78
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

22.22Shots per game14.78
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
8.78Shots on target5.78
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
14%Shot conversion14.3%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
55%Possession51%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
2.46xG for1.72
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1.13xG against1.31
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Shooting quality

Heracles: DominantRKC Waalwijk: Attacking
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
Accuracy (shots on target)40%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Heracles
WWLWD
Season result split
78% W11% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-1
2.44 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.47Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
RKC Waalwijk
WWWLD
Season result split
33% W56% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-1
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heracles is 47% better for: goals scored per game.

3.11 goals / game - Heracles · 2.11 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk

Heracles scoring profile: very strong

Heracles scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

RKC Waalwijk scoring profile: very strong

RKC Waalwijk scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

28Goals scored (season)19
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
12Goals conceded (season)12
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
4.44Average goals per game3.44
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
12Goals scored (last 5)13
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal89%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
89%2 goals56%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
67%3 goals22%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
33%4 goals22%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal89%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
44%2 goals44%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
11%3 goals0%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
0%4 goals0%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
67%Scored in both halves22%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
40%BTTS - last 560%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heracles is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.44 pts / game - Heracles · 1.44 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk

Heracles - half-time state
78% leading11% draw11% trailing
RKC Waalwijk - half-time state
44% leading11% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.44Points per game (1st half)1.44
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1.78Goals scored (1st half)0.78
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
2.11Average goals (1st half)1.33
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
78%Clean sheet before half-time44%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
11%No goal before half-time56%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)2
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
2.33Average goals (2nd half)2.11
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk
33%No goal after half-time33%
HeraclesRKC Waalwijk

Heracles - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
22
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 78% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

RKC Waalwijk - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Heracles - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
RKC Waalwijk - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game1.01.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game1.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
10
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
6
1
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

RKC Waalwijk
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

RKC Waalwijk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

HeraclesLigaRKC Waalwijk
Average goals per game▲ 4.443.63▼ 3.44
Both teams scored▼ 67%71%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%68%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 22%16%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%80%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%84%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.63
Average goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.09
Home goals / game
1.54
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. RKC WaalwijkYellow cardFaissal Al Mazyani
  2. HeraclesYellow cardSem Scheperman
  3. RKC WaalwijkYellow cardLiam van Gelderen
  4. HeraclesGoalTristan van Gilst
  5. HeraclesSubstitutionOn: David TomicOff: Tristan van Gilst
  6. HeraclesGoalDamon MiraniAssist: Chafik Abbas
  7. RKC WaalwijkYellow cardLoek Postma
  8. HeraclesSubstitutionOn: Mario BoracOff: Sem Scheperman

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

The Eerste Divisie match finished Heracles 3:0 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Heracles score 3.11 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 2.11. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Heracles's matches and 78% of RKC Waalwijk's.

What form are Heracles and RKC Waalwijk in?

Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

The statistical background for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.