Hércules vs Águila: match statistics
Águila is the clear favorite in this match. Hércules is in disastrous form with a 76% home loss rate, a goal difference of -30, and only a 12% home win rate. The hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring just 4 goals while conceding as many as 14. Águila, on the other hand, demonstrates solid away effectiveness with a 47% win rate, a higher average xG (1.34 vs 1.12 Hércules), and 37% clean sheets. Although the visitors have experienced a slight dip in form recently, their qualitative and statistical advantage is substantial enough to make an Águila victory the most probable scenario. The disparity in efficiency between the two sides is overwhelming, making an away win highly likely.
Hércules vs Águila: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hércules played against Águila in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game was played on March 26, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Hércules has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Águila has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Hércules scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 2.31. Águila scores 1.36 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Hércules's games and 54% of Águila's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 51%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Águila has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.06 per game. Hércules takes 6.6 shots per game, while Águila takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Hércules leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.49 goals per game after halftime. Águila leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hércules's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Águila, it is minutes 16-30 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Águila is the clear favorite in this match. Hércules is in disastrous form with a 76% home loss rate, a goal difference of -30, and only a 12% home win rate. The hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring just 4 goals while conceding as many as 14. Águila, on the other hand, demonstrates solid away effectiveness with a 47% win rate, a higher average xG (1.34 vs 1.12 Hércules), and 37% clean sheets. Although the visitors have experienced a slight dip in form recently, their qualitative and statistical advantage is substantial enough to make an Águila victory the most probable scenario. The disparity in efficiency between the two sides is overwhelming, making an away win highly likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Hércules has a very high season-long BTTS rate (70%) and a low clean sheet percentage (20%), which, combined with an average of 1.4 goals conceded, favors opponents scoring. On paper, both sides appear capable of finding the net: the expected goal values and xG hover around 1.2–1.3 for each team (Hércules: 1.6 GF and 1.49 xG vs Águila 1.11 GA and 1.06 xGA; Águila: 1.11 GF and 1.34 xG vs Hércules 1.4 GA and 1.14 xGA). In the last 5 matches, Hércules has been conceding heavily (2.8 GA; 2.04 xGA), significantly boosting the likelihood of an Águila goal. A downside for BTTS is the recent dip in offensive form (Hércules 0.8 goals/match, Águila 0.6), but Águila still generates decent xG (1.29), and Hércules has a weak defense. Additionally, the league boasts a high BTTS level (55%), supporting a goals from both sides scenario. Overall, the signals lean slightly towards 'BTTS: Yes,' though it's not an overwhelming advantage due to the weaker current attacking efficiency.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals model combines average goals and xG metrics: Hércules averages 1.6 goals scored at home with 1.49 xG, while Águila averages 1.11 goals away with 1.34 xG, resulting in approximately 2.65 total goals per match. The Over 1.5 market is strongly supported by high goal frequencies: Hércules has 85% of matches with Over 1.5, and Águila 63%, alongside a 100% Over 0.5 for the home side. Furthermore, Hércules' defense appears vulnerable in short-term form (last 5 matches: 2.8 goals conceded and 2.04 xG against), which raises the probability of an Águila goal. The 2.5 line is more balanced, as although Hércules frequently plays Over 2.5 (65% seasonally and 80% in the last 5), Águila has only 37% Over 2.5 this season and typically limits goal counts. Meanwhile, Under 3.5 remains the favorite (seasonally 75–84% Under 3.5), making the clearest data signal the safer Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most probable outcome, as Águila very frequently draws at HT (47%), also has low goal production in the first half (0.37) and a high rate of first-half clean sheets (74%). Although Hércules has good seasonal first-half metrics (53% lead at the break, 1.05 goals per first half), in their last 5 matches they have significantly decreased their pre-break efficiency (0.4 goals). The likelihood of the visitors turning the match around after the break increases, as Hércules's form is poor (last 5: 0.2 PPG and a concerning 2.8 goals conceded per match), suggesting issues with holding onto a result. Águila is more defensively stable (xGA 1.06; CS 37%), while the second half is statistically high-scoring for both sides (over 0.5 in 2H: 79% vs 84%). This supports the scenario of X at half-time and an Águila win by the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hércules | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Águila is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Hércules · 1 pts / game - Águila
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Hércules · 1.36 goals / game - Águila
Águila is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.31 goals / game - Hércules · 1.26 goals / game - Águila
Hércules scores in 66% of games (23 of 35 meczów), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 39 meczów).
Águila scores in 77% of games (30 of 39 meczów), while Hércules keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hércules
Over / Under - Águila
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / game - Hércules · 1.49 pts / game - Águila
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hércules - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Águila - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hércules
Águila
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Hércules | Liga | Águila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.20 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- ÁguilaGoalTomas Granitto
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hércules's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Águila. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hércules vs Águila?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Hércules 0:1 Águila. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hércules and Águila?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hércules won 0, Águila won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hércules vs Águila?
Hércules score 0.89 goals per game on average and Águila 1.36. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Hércules's matches and 54% of Águila's.
What form are Hércules and Águila in?
Over the last 5 games Hércules have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Águila 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hércules vs Águila?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.