Herediano vs San Carlos: match statistics
Herediano vs San Carlos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Herediano played against San Carlos in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Herediano has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. San Carlos has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Herediano scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 0.97. San Carlos scores 1.00 and allows 1.61. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Herediano's games and 42% of San Carlos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 42%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Herediano has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 0.99 per game. Herediano takes 12.5 shots per game, while San Carlos takes 8.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Herediano leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. San Carlos leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Herediano's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For San Carlos, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División FPD games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Herediano to win, as the home advantage is clear in the numbers. Herediano scores an average of 1.81 goals per home match with xG 1.79 and records 4.63 shots on target per game, while San Carlos away averages only 1.13 goals with xG 0.86 and 2.75 shots on target. Defensively Herediano concedes 1.13 goals per home match and has a 38% clean sheet rate, whereas San Carlos concedes 1.88 goals away with just a 6% clean sheet rate; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 11 goals, the hosts 6. Form supports the edge: Herediano won 3 of their last 5 matches and averages 1.8 points per game in that period, while San Carlos won only 1 of 5 and averages 0.6 points. Considering the differences in xG, shooting efficiency and defense, I estimate probabilities of 70% home win, 18% draw and 12% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 65% vs 35% edge because seasonal and last-5 data favor both teams scoring. San Carlos concedes 1.88 goals on average this season and 2.20 in the last 5, while scoring 1.13 seasonally and 1.20 in the last 5, indicating consistent goals conceded and scored. Herediano has xG 1.10 versus opponent xG 1.24; they concede 1.35 goals seasonally, and in the last 5 they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, with their last 5 fixtures showing 80% BTTS despite a 24% seasonal rate. Additionally, San Carlos registers 2.75 shots on target with a 15% conversion versus Herediano’s 2.35 shots on target and 10% conversion; given the higher average goals conceded (1.88 vs 1.35) and the hosts’ recent form, the both-teams-to-score scenario is the likelier outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.50 for Herediano and 1.10 for San Carlos, totaling 2.60. Basis is xG: Herediano has xG for 1.10 and San Carlos xG against 1.65 — their predictive average yields about 1.50 for the home side; conversely San Carlos xG for 0.86 versus Herediano xG against 1.24 gives around 1.10 for the away side. Seasonally, Over 1.5 occurred in 76% of Herediano’s matches and 75% of San Carlos’s matches, and in the last 5 fixtures Herediano has last5 xG_for 1.8 and scored 7 goals, which increases the likelihood of more goals. A Poisson model with combined lambda=2.60 gives ~73% chance for Over 1.5, ~48% for Over 2.5 and ~26% for Over 3.5. Additionally, San Carlos concedes on average 1.88 goals per match (53 in the season) and Herediano has only 29% clean sheets, therefore I recommend an Over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The statistically most likely scenario is Herediano leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1), because San Carlos, as the away team, lose by half-time in 63% of their matches, while hosts lead at the break in 29% of their games. San Carlos concede on average 1.19 goals before the break versus 0.53 conceded by Herediano, which increases the probability of a home goal in the first half. Herediano is in better form over the last five matches: 'llwww' with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.8 points per game, whereas San Carlos have a 20% win rate and 0.6 points over their last five. xG also favors the hosts: xG_for 1.10 versus 0.86 and xG_against 1.24 versus 1.65 for San Carlos, indicating superiority in chance creation and better defending. Based on these figures I assign 38% to 1/1 as the strongest signal, with secondary options X/1 at 17% and X/X at 10%; scenarios with the away side leading at the break are collectively unlikely (15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Herediano | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Herediano is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Herediano · 0.6 pts / game - San Carlos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Herediano is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Herediano · 1 goals / game - San Carlos
Herediano is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Herediano · 1.61 goals / game - San Carlos
Herediano scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 meczów), while San Carlos keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 meczów).
San Carlos scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 meczów), while Herediano keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Herediano
Over / Under - San Carlos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Herediano is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Herediano · 1 pts / game - San Carlos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Herediano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
San Carlos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Herediano
San Carlos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).
Teams vs league
| Herediano | Liga | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.36 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Herediano's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against San Carlos. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Herediano vs San Carlos?
The Primera División FPD match finished Herediano 1:0 San Carlos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Herediano and San Carlos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Herediano won 1, San Carlos won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Herediano vs San Carlos?
Herediano score 1.39 goals per game on average and San Carlos 1.00. The Primera División FPD average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Herediano's matches and 42% of San Carlos's.
What form are Herediano and San Carlos in?
Over the last 5 games Herediano have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and San Carlos 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Herediano vs San Carlos?
The statistical background for Herediano vs San Carlos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.