Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hertha BSC played against Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Hertha BSC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nürnberg has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Hertha BSC scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.22. Nürnberg scores 1.30 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Hertha BSC's games and 65% of Nürnberg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 57%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nürnberg has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.43 per game. Hertha BSC takes 12.4 shots per game, while Nürnberg takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Hertha BSC leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Nürnberg leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hertha BSC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Nürnberg, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hertha BSC | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hertha BSC is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Hertha BSC · 1.3 goals / game - Nürnberg
Hertha BSC is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Hertha BSC · 1.39 goals / game - Nürnberg
Hertha BSC scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 meczów).
Nürnberg scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hertha BSC
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hertha BSC is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Hertha BSC · 1.22 pts / game - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hertha BSC
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hertha BSC | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hertha BSC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nürnberg. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Hertha BSC 2:1 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
Hertha BSC score 1.39 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.30. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Hertha BSC's matches and 65% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Hertha BSC and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Hertha BSC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nürnberg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.