Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hertha BSC play Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hertha BSC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nürnberg: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hertha BSC scores 1.38 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 1.38 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hertha BSC 47%, Nürnberg 62%. Over 2.5: Hertha BSC 47%, Nürnberg 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Nürnberg has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.43. Hertha BSC: 12.7 shots per match, Nürnberg: 13.1.
Match halves
Hertha BSC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74. Nürnberg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Hertha BSC: 76-90+ (13 goals). Nürnberg: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hertha BSC | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nürnberg is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Hertha BSC · 1.8 pts / match - Nürnberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hertha BSC scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
Nürnberg scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hertha BSC
Over / Under — Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hertha BSC is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Hertha BSC · 1.41 pts / match - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hertha BSC
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hertha BSC | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.68 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hertha BSC 1 - 0 - 0 Nürnberg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Hertha BSC 2:1 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
Hertha BSC score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.38. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hertha BSC's matches and 62% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Hertha BSC and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Hertha BSC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nürnberg 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.