Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with an edge for a draw. Hillerød shows solid home form (50% wins), but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game, signaling a drop in form. Aarhus Fremad displays an impressive unbeaten run in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), along with an advantage in possession (57%) and xG in away matches (1.77). However, the visitors win only 20% of their away matches, drawing in as many as 50% of cases. Considering the hosts' higher efficiency in front of their home crowd and the visitors' good form but their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hillerød played against Aarhus Fremad in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Hillerød has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Aarhus Fremad has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hillerød scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.38. Aarhus Fremad scores 1.52 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 76% of Hillerød's games and 57% of Aarhus Fremad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 52%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aarhus Fremad has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.44 per game. Hillerød takes 12.1 shots per game, while Aarhus Fremad takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Hillerød leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Aarhus Fremad leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hillerød's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Aarhus Fremad, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with an edge for a draw. Hillerød shows solid home form (50% wins), but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game, signaling a drop in form. Aarhus Fremad displays an impressive unbeaten run in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), along with an advantage in possession (57%) and xG in away matches (1.77). However, the visitors win only 20% of their away matches, drawing in as many as 50% of cases. Considering the hosts' higher efficiency in front of their home crowd and the visitors' good form but their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aarhus Fremad is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Hillerød · 1.8 pts / game - Aarhus Fremad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.24 goals / game - Aarhus Fremad
Hillerød scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Aarhus Fremad scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hillerød is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Hillerød · 1.1 pts / game - Aarhus Fremad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hillerød
Aarhus Fremad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.90 | 2.75 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hillerød's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aarhus Fremad. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 1:0 Aarhus Fremad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
Hillerød score 1.52 goals per game on average and Aarhus Fremad 1.52. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Hillerød's matches and 57% of Aarhus Fremad's.
What form are Hillerød and Aarhus Fremad in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aarhus Fremad 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.