Hillerød vs Esbjerg: match statistics
Hillerød vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hillerød played against Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Hillerød has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Esbjerg has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hillerød scores 1.34 goals per game and allows 1.31. Esbjerg scores 1.31 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Hillerød's games and 48% of Esbjerg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 45%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Esbjerg has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.34 per game. Hillerød takes 11.2 shots per game, while Esbjerg takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Hillerød leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Esbjerg leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.66 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hillerød's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Esbjerg, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Hillerød). Hillerød average 1.36 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per home match, while Esbjerg average 1.07 scored and 1.64 conceded away, giving the hosts a clear defensive edge. Additionally, Hillerød record 50% home wins versus Esbjerg’s 36% away wins, and the home match goal difference is +6 compared to the visitors’ -8 on the road. Despite similar xG (Hillerød 1.41 vs Esbjerg 1.46), the hosts are more efficient (conversion rate 12% vs 8%) and have a lower percentage of matches without scoring (21% vs 36%). In the last 5 matches Hillerød have scored 5 and conceded 8 (2 wins) versus Esbjerg’s 4 scored and 10 conceded (1 win). Based on this I assess the probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 25%, away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long stats indicate a moderate lean toward a both-teams-to-score scenario: Hillerød has BTTS in 53% of season matches, Esbjerg 43%, and the league averages 55% of games with both teams scoring. Both sides have been conceding frequently recently — Hillerød averages 1.13 goals conceded over the season and 1.6 in the last 5 matches, while Esbjerg concedes 1.64 seasonally and 2.0 in the last 5 — which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. xG corroborates this picture: Hillerød xG_for 1.63 versus Esbjerg xG_against 1.57, and Esbjerg xG_for 1.46 versus Hillerød xG_against 1.40, meaning both teams generate roughly 1.4–1.6 xG per game. Additionally, Hillerød records on average 5.6 shots on target against Esbjerg’s 4.36 and has a conversion rate around 11% versus the visitors’ 8%, giving the hosts greater efficiency in finishing chances. Although Esbjerg’s BTTS in the last 5 is low (20%) and Hillerød’s is 40% in the same period, the aggregate signals (seasonal 53%/43%, high average goals conceded and xG ~1.4–1.6) prevail; therefore I back BTTS - Yes and assess the probability at 60% for Yes versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model calculates expected goals as Hillerød 1.60 and Esbjerg 1.43 (total 3.03). This season Hillerød have 73% of matches over 1.5 goals and Esbjerg 71% (avg 72%), and the combined xG 3.03 exceeds the league average 2.77, which strongly supports Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the season rates are 47% (Hillerød) and 43% (Esbjerg), average 45%, but in the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 in 60% of cases, and recent xG are 1.05 (Hillerød) and 1.60 (Esbjerg), which pushes the probability of Over 2.5 to approx. 56%. The chance of Over 3.5 is limited: season values are 27% and 29% (avg 28%), and by the model (total xG 3.03) I estimate the probability of four or more goals at around 34%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (78% vs 22%) — supported by weaker defensive numbers from Esbjerg (avg 1.64 goals conceded per match) and Hillerød’s shot efficiency (5.6 shots on target and a conversion rate of 11%) — therefore I recommend Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hillerød holds a clear statistical edge: at home they average 1.53 goals per match versus Esbjerg’s 1.07 away, xG 1.63 vs 1.46, and 5.6 shots on target vs 4.36 with conversion rates of 11% vs 8%. At half-time the hosts led in 33% of matches and were level in 40%, while Esbjerg were trailing at the break in 50% of their away games, suggesting the most likely half-time outcome is a draw or a narrow lead for the home side. Hillerød is particularly dangerous after the break: they score 0.87 goals on average in second halves versus Esbjerg’s 0.43, average second-half points of 1.6 vs opponents’ 0.93, and as many as 8 goals have fallen for them in minutes 61–75, which favors turnarounds. In light of these figures the most probable HT/FT is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning) with an estimated probability of 25%, with a close alternative being X/1 (draw at half-time, Hillerød win) at 22%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hillerød is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Hillerød · 0.8 pts / game - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hillerød is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.38 goals / game - Esbjerg
Hillerød scores in 79% of games (23 of 29 meczów), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Esbjerg scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hillerød
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.66 | 2.77 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hillerød's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Esbjerg. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 1:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and Esbjerg?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1, Esbjerg won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
Hillerød score 1.34 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.31. The 1st Division average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Hillerød's matches and 48% of Esbjerg's.
What form are Hillerød and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Esbjerg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
The statistical background for Hillerød vs Esbjerg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.