Hillerød vs Horsens: match statistics
Hillerød vs Horsens: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hillerød played against Horsens in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Hillerød has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Horsens has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hillerød scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.30. Horsens scores 1.17 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Hillerød's games and 39% of Horsens's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 48%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hillerød has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.35 per game. Hillerød takes 12.0 shots per game, while Horsens takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Hillerød leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Horsens leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hillerød's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Horsens, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Hillerød). Hillerød sit 3rd in the table vs Horsens 6th and average 1.45 goals per home game with xG 1.48, while Horsens average 1.00 goals away with xG 1.38. The hosts register 5.55 shots on target per home match with a 12% conversion rate versus Horsens’ 3.91 shots on target and 8% conversion, and in the last 5 matches Hillerød scored 7 goals vs Horsens’ 3. Hillerød fail to score in 18% of home games, whereas Horsens are goalless in 45% of away matches, despite the visitors conceding only 0.64 goals on the road (Hillerød 0.91 at home) and keeping 55% clean sheets away. Considering the offensive edge, better form over the last 5 (Hillerød 7-7 vs Horsens 3-9) and an average of 1.2 points in the last 5 matches vs Horsens’ 0.8, I assess probabilities: Hillerød 62%, draw 22%, Horsens 16%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis favors a 'no' scenario (at least one team fails to score), as Hillerød has a season BTTS rate of 50% versus only 27% for Horsens. Horsens records 55% clean sheets and concedes on average 0.64 goals per match this season, while Hillerød concedes 1.42 on average, meaning statistically the visitors more often finish matches with a clean sheet. Arguments for BTTS include a league rate of 55% matches with both teams scoring and xG comparison: offensively Hillerød 1.31 vs Horsens 1.38, and xG against 1.41 (home) vs 1.08 (away), indicating that chances are created by both sides. However, Horsens’ low finishing rate of 8% and only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 avg) significantly limit their realistic scoring chances despite 1.38 xG. Considering the visitors’ 27% season BTTS, 55% clean sheets and poor recent attacking numbers, I assign 62% to 'no' and 38% to 'yes' as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I base the projection on xG: Hillerød’s average xG scored is 1.31 and Horsens’ average xG conceded is 1.08, yielding expected home goals (1.31+1.08)/2 = 1.20; similarly Horsens’ average xG scored is 1.38 and Hillerød’s average xG conceded is 1.41, giving expected away goals (1.38+1.41)/2 = 1.40, total = 2.60. The 2.60 total is close to the league average of 2.75 and aligns with seasonal over 2.5 rates: Hillerød at home have 58% of matches over 2.5, Horsens away 36%, averaging roughly 47% — comparable to my over 2.5 estimate of 48%. A Poisson model with mean 2.60 yields probabilities: over 1.5 ≈ 73%, over 2.5 ≈ 48%, and over 3.5 ≈ 26%. Additionally, Hillerød have better shot conversion (11% vs Horsens 8%) and average 4.33 shots on target vs 3.91, which increases the home side’s scoring chances, despite Horsens keeping 55% clean sheets away. For these reasons I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal (line 1.5, over), with an estimated probability of 73%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hillerød led at half-time in 50% of their matches and score an average of 0.83 goals by the break versus Horsens’ 0.55, so the home side are favorites at the half. However, Hillerød have a negative goal balance in second halves (-4) and conceded as many as 6 goals in minutes 76–90, while Horsens scored 2 goals in that interval, which increases the risk of a lost lead. Horsens concede only 0.64 goals on average away and produce 1.38 xG with 1.08 xG against, whereas Hillerød allow 1.41 xG and concede 1.42 goals at home on average, so the visitors’ defense looks more stable. Considering Hillerød’s 50% chance to lead at half-time, the hosts’ simultaneous weakness in the second half (-4) and 6 late goals conceded, the most likely scenario is 1/X (Hillerød leading at half-time and a draw at full-time; 25%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hillerød is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Hillerød · 0.8 pts / game - Horsens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hillerød is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.17 goals / game - Horsens
Horsens is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Hillerød · 1.04 goals / game - Horsens
Hillerød scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Horsens scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Horsens
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Horsens is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Hillerød · 1.65 pts / game - Horsens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 39%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hillerød
Horsens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.78 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 54% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Hillerød's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Horsens. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Horsens?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 0:0 Horsens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and Horsens?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1, Horsens won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Horsens?
Hillerød score 1.48 goals per game on average and Horsens 1.17. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Hillerød's matches and 39% of Horsens's.
What form are Hillerød and Horsens in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Horsens 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Horsens?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hillerød vs Horsens: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.