HJK vs Gnistan: match statistics
HJK vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HJK played against Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on August 23, 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
HJK has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Gnistan has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
HJK scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.15. Gnistan scores 1.60 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of HJK's games and 50% of Gnistan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 45%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HJK has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.47 per game. HJK takes 13.1 shots per game, while Gnistan takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
HJK leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Gnistan leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
HJK's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Gnistan, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK have a clear home advantage: they win 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.1, while Gnistan win only 30% of their away fixtures. The hosts create more chances, averaging 13.3 shots and 4.7 on target per match, compared with 9.9 shots and 3.2 on target for the visitors. This is reflected in the average xG figures: 1.56 for HJK at home versus 1.18 for Gnistan away, while the visitors’ defense allows an xG of 1.71. Gnistan are, however, in better recent form, having scored 9 goals and won 3 of their last 5 matches, so a closely fought encounter cannot be ruled out. Nevertheless, HJK’s 50% clean-sheet rate at home and Gnistan’s weaker away attacking efficiency, with the visitors failing to score in 30% of their away games, point towards a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal BTTS rate for both teams stands at 50%, but HJK’s recent form clearly lowers the prospect of goals at both ends: this scenario occurred in only 20% of their last five matches. HJK averaged 1.0 goals scored during this period, with an xG of 1.34, while Gnistan conceded an average of 1.2 goals, despite recording 1.72 xG against. The visitors are in better offensive form, scoring 1.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures, but HJK have limited opponents to just 0.93 xG per match. Gnistan failed to score in 30% of their matches this season, while HJK kept a clean sheet in 30% of games, making BTTS - No the most likely outcome — meaning that at least one team is expected not to score, rather than automatically indicating a 0:0 result.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
HJK create chances worth an average of 1.75 xG at home and register 5.7 shots on target per game, while Gnistan allow opponents 1.71 xG away from home. Both teams finished with at least two total goals in 80% of their matches this season, which clearly supports the Over 1.5 goals line. In their last five matches, Gnistan scored 9 goals and generated 1.54 xG per game, while HJK conceded just 0.93 xG, so the visitors’ contribution should be moderate but realistic. The Over 2.5 goals line is more balanced, as Gnistan recorded fewer than 2.5 total goals in 70% of their away matches; therefore, the safest choice remains Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HJK were level at half-time in 40% of their home matches, and this scenario occurred in as many as 60% of their last five games, with no defeats after the first half. Gnistan can start strongly, leading at the break in 50% of their away matches and 60% of their recent games, so HT/FT outcomes involving an away lead after 45 minutes also remain relevant. After the break, however, the figures point more clearly towards HJK: the hosts average 1.2 goals in second halves and win them in 60% of cases, while Gnistan score only 0.4 goals during that period and lose the second half in 60% of matches. HJK’s overall advantage is also reflected in their average home points tally of 1.9, compared with Gnistan’s 1.3 away from home, as well as in the quality of chances created: an xG of 1.75 versus 1.18. The most likely scenario is therefore a level score at half-time, after which HJK will use their home advantage and stronger second-half performance to secure the win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HJK is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - HJK · 2 pts / game - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - HJK · 1.3 goals / game - Gnistan
HJK scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
Gnistan scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HJK
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from HJK's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Gnistan. Games average 3.80 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 2:3 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Gnistan?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Gnistan won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Gnistan?
HJK score 1.60 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.60. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 35% of HJK's matches and 50% of Gnistan's.
What form are HJK and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Gnistan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Gnistan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HJK vs Gnistan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


