HJK vs Jaro: match statistics
HJK vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HJK played against Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on August 16, 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
HJK has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Jaro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
HJK scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.21. Jaro scores 0.95 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of HJK's games and 53% of Jaro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 58%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HJK has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.40 per game. HJK takes 13.1 shots per game, while Jaro takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
HJK leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Jaro leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.26 after halftime.
When the teams score
HJK's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Jaro, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK are clear favorites: they win 56% of their home matches, while Jaro are yet to win away from home and have lost 78% of their matches. The hosts average 1.44 goals and 4.67 shots on target per game at home, whereas Jaro score just 0.44 goals away and fail to score in 67% of their outings. The visitors’ defense concedes an average of 2.56 goals away from home, have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of matches, and have allowed chances worth an average xG of 1.75. HJK also come into the match in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and conceding just 4 goals in that run, while Jaro have an away goal difference of -19. The contrast between the teams’ home and away performances points to a controlled home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Jaro’s poor attacking consistency: the visitors score just 0.44 goals per match on average and failed to score in 67% of their games. Their season BTTS rate is only 33%, well below HJK’s 70% and the league average of 49%. HJK have improved defensively over their last five matches, conceding 0.8 goals per game with opponents’ xG limited to 0.99, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of those fixtures. The hosts should create chances against a Jaro defense conceding an average of 2.56 goals and allowing 1.75 xG, but the more likely scenario is that at least Jaro fail to score. The visitors’ last five appearances, with BTTS at 60%, increase the risk of a goal, but this does not offset their very low season scoring efficiency of 4% and an average of only 1.0 goal across that run.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
HJK should create more chances, averaging 4.9 shots on target per match, while Jaro concede as many as 2.56 goals per game. However, the visitors score just 0.44 goals per game on average this season and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, which clearly limits their contribution to a high-scoring game. HJK’s last five matches produced an average of 2.0 total goals, with the hosts conceding just 0.8 goals per match. The Under 3.5 line also receives additional support from seasonal trends: 70% of HJK’s matches and 67% of Jaro’s games finished below this line. HJK’s superiority could result in around 1.7 goals for the hosts, but Jaro’s poor finishing points towards a result staying within the three-goal range.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HJK have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 50% of their matches, averaging 1.0 goals before half-time while conceding just 0.6. Jaro have been trailing after 45 minutes in 56% of their games, with a very modest average of just 0.33 goals scored in this period and 1.11 conceded. Over the course of the season, the hosts average 1.40 goals per match, while Jaro score only 0.44, and the visitors have lost 78% of their games without recording a single win. Jaro continue to look very poor after the break, averaging just 0.11 goals scored while allowing opponents 1.44, which further strengthens HJK’s chances of maintaining their lead. HJK’s last five matches have produced a 60% win rate and a 4:0 half-time goal difference, making 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome: HJK to lead at half-time and win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HJK is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - HJK · 1.4 pts / game - Jaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - HJK · 0.95 goals / game - Jaro
HJK is 65% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - HJK · 2 goals / game - Jaro
HJK scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 games), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 games).
Jaro scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 games), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - Jaro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / game - HJK · 1.32 pts / game - Jaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HJK
Jaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from HJK's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Jaro. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Jaro?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 3:0 Jaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Jaro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Jaro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Jaro?
HJK score 1.53 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.95. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of HJK's matches and 53% of Jaro's.
What form are HJK and Jaro in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Jaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Jaro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.