HJK vs Lahti: match statistics
HJK vs Lahti: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HJK play Lahti in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
HJK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lahti: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
HJK scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Lahti scores 1.25 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HJK 44%, Lahti 44%. Over 2.5: HJK 56%, Lahti 31%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. HJK: 13.0 shots per match, Lahti: 12.5.
Match halves
HJK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06. Lahti: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
HJK: 76-90+ (7 goals). Lahti: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back a home win for HJK. At home they average 1.5 goals per game with xG 1.74, 4.5 on-target shots and 15.5 total attempts per match. Lahti away averages 1.0 goal, xG 1.24, 3.5 on-target shots and 11.5 attempts, indicating lower quality chance creation (xG 1.74 vs 1.24; 15.5 vs 11.5 shots). Defensively HJK is superior — they concede only 0.5 goals at home with conceded xG 1.11, while Lahti concede 1.0 goal away with conceded xG 1.47. Note that Lahti scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and won 3 of them, averaging 1.8 points per game in that period, whereas HJK have 8 goals, 2 wins and 1.6 points per game; additionally Lahti have 0% away matches without a goal, while HJK kept no-goal matches in 50% of home games. Considering HJK’s edge in xG (1.74 vs 1.24), higher shot volume (15.5 vs 11.5) and better home goal differential (+2 vs 0), I give the hosts the higher probability, with a moderate draw risk.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lahti is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HJK · 2.2 pts / match - Lahti
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - HJK · 1.25 goals / match - Lahti
Lahti is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - HJK · 0.94 goals / match - Lahti
HJK scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Lahti scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HJK
Over / Under — Lahti
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lahti is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - HJK · 1.56 pts / match - Lahti
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HJK
Lahti
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: HJK 0 - 0 - 1 Lahti. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Lahti?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 1:0 Lahti. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Lahti?
HJK score 1.69 goals per game on average and Lahti 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of HJK's matches and 44% of Lahti's.
What form are HJK and Lahti in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lahti 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Lahti?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.