HJK vs Mariehamn: match statistics
HJK vs Mariehamn: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HJK played against Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
HJK has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Mariehamn has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
HJK scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.89. Mariehamn scores 0.63 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of HJK's games and 50% of Mariehamn's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 38%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HJK has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 0.80 per game. HJK takes 12.4 shots per game, while Mariehamn takes 5.8.
First-half and second-half trends
HJK leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Mariehamn leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
HJK's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Mariehamn, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK is the clear favorite: at home they average 1.5 goals scored per game, concede 0.75 and have 50% wins and 50% clean sheets in home matches. Mariehamn are severely limited away — they average 0.25 goals scored, 2.0 conceded, 0% wins and 75% of away games without scoring. Quality-of-chance metrics confirm the home advantage: HJK have home xG 1.62 versus Mariehamn’s 0.62 xG away, and HJK concede 1.33 xG compared to 2.16 xG conceded by the visitors, yielding roughly a 1.0 expected-goal advantage. The difference in attacking quality is also visible in shot metrics — HJK average 13.25 shots and 4.75 on target at home, while Mariehamn manage only 3.75 shots and 1.0 on target away, with finishing rates of 11% versus 7%. Considering also that HJK have 1.4 points per game in the last 5 while Mariehamn have 1.0, and the visitors have no away wins, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No. Mariehamn average only 0.25 goals away (5 goals this season) and have just 25% of away matches with BTTS, which greatly reduces the likelihood of an away goal. HJK at home have a high seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and average 1.0 home goals, and in the last 5 matches the home side scored 18 goals (3.6 per match) while Mariehamn scored 5 in their last 5 (1.0). Chance creation favors HJK: at home HJK register xG 0.98 and 3.25 shots on target, whereas Mariehamn away have xG 0.62 and only 1.0 shots on target; with shot conversion 13% for the hosts versus 7% for the visitors, the visitors have limited ability to convert opportunities. Additionally Mariehamn concede on average 2.0 goals away and have conceded 13 away goals, while HJK at home have scored 12 and conceded 8; these figures indicate the hosts will dominate offensively and the visitors may remain goalless. As a result I assess BTTS - No at 70% vs 30% for BTTS - Yes, because Mariehamn’s low goal output (0.25 away, xG 0.62) outweighs HJK’s historical involvement in both-teams-to-score games.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG from the last 5 matches: HJK has an average attacking xG of 2.03, Mariehamn 0.96, and xG against is 0.99 for HJK and 1.94 for Mariehamn; averaging gives expected goals of approximately 1.99 for HJK and 0.98 for Mariehamn (total 2.97). HJK’s form is very offensive — in the last 5 matches they scored 18 goals (3.6 per match) and conceded 6 (1.2), with 80% of those games finishing Over 2.5 goals. Mariehamn in the last 5 matches scored 5 goals (1.0 average) and conceded 6 (1.2), with only 40% of their last five matches Over 2.5. Additionally, HJK averages 7.75 shots and 3.25 on target versus 3.75 and 1.0 for Mariehamn, and HJK’s conversion rate is 13% versus 7% for the opponent, which increases the likelihood of more goals. As a result I recommend a bet on Over 2.5: expected 2.97 goals, high Over 2.5 frequency in HJK form (80%) and the xG advantage provide the strongest signal (I estimate Over 2.5 at about 68%, Over 3.5 at about 38%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to HJK leading at half-time and the home side winning the match (1/1). In their last five matches HJK led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 2.0 first-half goals, whereas Mariehamn averaged 0.4 goals at half-time over the same five matches and led in only 20% of fixtures. HJK creates significantly more chances: on average 7.75 shots and 3.25 on target per game versus Mariehamn’s 3.75 shots and 1.0 on target, and the home side’s xG is 0.98 compared to the visitors’ 0.62. Mariehamn concedes 2.0 goals per game season-to-date and scores only 0.25 goals per game, while HJK also tend to score just before half-time (three goals in minutes 31–45), increasing the likelihood of a lead at the break. Despite HJK’s season-long draw rate of 75%, the hosts’ recent form (40% wins in the last five and 60% half-time leads) combined with the gap in goal-scoring situations makes the 1/1 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HJK is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - HJK · 0.4 pts / game - Mariehamn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 111% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - HJK · 0.63 goals / game - Mariehamn
HJK is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - HJK · 1.63 goals / game - Mariehamn
HJK scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
Mariehamn scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 meczów), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - Mariehamn
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - HJK · 0.75 pts / game - Mariehamn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HJK
Mariehamn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.37 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from HJK's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mariehamn. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Mariehamn?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 1:0 Mariehamn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Mariehamn?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Mariehamn won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Mariehamn?
HJK score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mariehamn 0.63. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 44% of HJK's matches and 50% of Mariehamn's.
What form are HJK and Mariehamn in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mariehamn 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Mariehamn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HJK vs Mariehamn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.