HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica: match statistics
HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HNK Vukovar 1991 played against Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
HNK Vukovar 1991 has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gorica has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.93. Gorica scores 1.13 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of HNK Vukovar 1991's games and 53% of Gorica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 47%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gorica has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.31 per game. HNK Vukovar 1991 takes 9.8 shots per game, while Gorica takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
HNK Vukovar 1991 leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Gorica leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
HNK Vukovar 1991's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Gorica, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match looks balanced, but HNK Vukovar 1991 holds a slight edge due to offensive efficiency — the hosts have scored 30 goals this season and average 1.33 goals per home match with 4.2 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate, while Gorica have 34 goals this season but average 1.00 goals away, 3.6 shots on target and a 9% conversion. Vukovar’s main weakness is defense: the hosts have conceded 58 goals this season and concede 1.8 goals per home match, whereas Gorica concede 1.4 goals away and 42 goals overall this season, giving the visitors a defensive advantage. The last five matches don’t provide a decisive trend — both teams have 1 win and average 0.8 points per match in that period, with goals in the last 5 being 5 for the hosts and 8 for the visitors. Additionally, Vukovar are less likely to finish a match without scoring (20% vs 40% for Gorica) and have a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.36), which increases the probability they will create chances and find the net. As a result, I give a slight lean to the hosts as favorites, but expect an open game and do not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% (Vukovar 53% and Gorica 53%), while the league BTTS is 55%, indicating a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. Vukovar’s BTTS in the last 5 matches is 60%, conceding on average 2.8 goals per game (14 goals conceded in 5 games), whereas Gorica’s last 5 BTTS is 40% and they concede 2.0 goals per game on average (10 goals conceded). Combined, this increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Additionally, Gorica allows a higher xG against — 1.74 versus 1.4 for Vukovar — and xG per game is 1.3 for Vukovar and 1.36 for Gorica, indicating comparable scoring potential. Gorica has only 13% clean sheets and 40% of matches without scoring, which reduces confidence in their BTTS participation, but Vukovar have conceded 58 goals this season and 14 in the last 5, which strongly favors the both-teams-to-score scenario. Based on the above figures I favor the “BTTS - Yes” outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are 1.52 for the home team and 1.38 for the away team (total 2.90), derived from home xG 1.30 and xG conceded by away 1.74, and away xG 1.36 and xG conceded by home 1.40. This total of 2.90 is above the league average of 2.74 and translates to approximately a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals (P(>=2) ≈ 78.5%). Both teams have season Over1.5 rates of 73% and BTTS of 53%. Additionally, the home side averages 10.6 shots with 3.73 on target and a 12% conversion rate versus the away side’s 11.67 shots, 3.6 on target and 9% conversion, which favors goal scoring. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 5 goals (1.0 avg) and conceded 14 (2.8 avg), while the away team scored 8 (1.6) and conceded 10 (2.0), supporting a multi-goal scenario. Based on this I recommend the over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (over 1.5 ≈ 79%), while over 2.5 is moderate (≈ 55%) and over 3.5 less likely (≈ 33%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict the most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and winning by full-time (1/1). Hosts led at half-time in 40% of their matches this season, and their overall win rate is 33% versus the visitors’ 20%. On average the home team scores 0.67 goals by half-time compared to 0.6 for the away team, and more than 0.5 goals by half-time occurred in 87% of home games and 73% of away games, so goalless halves are uncommon. Home xG is 1.30 versus 1.36 for the visitors, but Gorica concedes 1.74 xG on average compared to Vukovar’s 1.40, and the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), which increases the likelihood of turning chances into goals and maintaining a lead. Additionally, the hosts scored seven goals in minutes 76–90 versus three for the visitors and collect more points in second halves (12 vs 10, second-half points per game 0.80 vs 0.67), which raises the probability of holding on for the win; although in the last five matches the hosts were behind at half-time in 60% of games, the season-long half-time profiles and attacking efficiency favor selecting 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gorica is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1 pts / game - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.13 goals / game - Gorica
Gorica is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.93 goals / game - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.4 goals / game - Gorica
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 meczów), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
Gorica scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while HNK Vukovar 1991 keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HNK Vukovar 1991
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / game - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.4 pts / game - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HNK Vukovar 1991 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HNK Vukovar 1991
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.93 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from HNK Vukovar 1991's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Gorica. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished HNK Vukovar 1991 1:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Vukovar 1991 and Gorica?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HNK Vukovar 1991 won 0, Gorica won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
HNK Vukovar 1991 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.13. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of HNK Vukovar 1991's matches and 53% of Gorica's.
What form are HNK Vukovar 1991 and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games HNK Vukovar 1991 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.