Hobro vs AaB: match statistics
AaB seems to have the upper hand in this clash despite their weaker recent form. The hosts, Hobro, present very poor home results with only a 20% home win rate and a -5 goal difference. AaB boasts better ball possession stats (54% vs 47%) and a higher average of shots per game (13 vs 11.5). Although the visitors haven't won any of their last 5 matches, their xG metrics (1.46 For vs 1.44 Against) suggest untapped attacking potential. Hobro scores an average of only 1 goal per home match, which, combined with AaB's defensive issues, could lead to a balanced game; however, the quality and experience of the visitors should tip the scales in their favor.
Hobro vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hobro played against AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Hobro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. AaB has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hobro scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.55. AaB scores 1.60 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Hobro's games and 50% of AaB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 65%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AaB has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.33 per game. Hobro takes 11.2 shots per game, while AaB takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Hobro leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. AaB leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hobro's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For AaB, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB seems to have the upper hand in this clash despite their weaker recent form. The hosts, Hobro, present very poor home results with only a 20% home win rate and a -5 goal difference. AaB boasts better ball possession stats (54% vs 47%) and a higher average of shots per game (13 vs 11.5). Although the visitors haven't won any of their last 5 matches, their xG metrics (1.46 For vs 1.44 Against) suggest untapped attacking potential. Hobro scores an average of only 1 goal per home match, which, combined with AaB's defensive issues, could lead to a balanced game; however, the quality and experience of the visitors should tip the scales in their favor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hobro is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Hobro · 0.6 pts / game - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Hobro · 1.6 goals / game - AaB
AaB is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.55 goals / game - Hobro · 1.45 goals / game - AaB
Hobro scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
AaB scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hobro
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / game - Hobro · 1.2 pts / game - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hobro
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.55 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hobro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AaB. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs AaB?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 1:0 AaB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs AaB?
Hobro score 1.00 goals per game on average and AaB 1.60. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hobro's matches and 50% of AaB's.
What form are Hobro and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AaB 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs AaB?
The statistical background for Hobro vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.